Related papers: On the Hitting Probability of Max-Stable Processes
Maximum entropy (maxEnt) inference of state probabilities using state-dependent constraints is popular in the study of complex systems. In stochastic dynamical systems, the effect of state space topology and path-dependent constraints on…
Let X be a critical branching L{\'e}vy process whose offspring distribution is in the domain of attraction of a stable random variable. We study the tail probability of the maximum location ever reached by a particle in two different…
We consider an inhomogeneous Poisson process $X$ on $[0,T]$. The intensity function of $X$ is supposed to be strictly positive and smooth on $[0,T]$ except at the point $\theta$, in which it has either a 0-type singularity (tends to 0 like…
Max-stable distributions and processes are important models for extreme events and the assessment of tail risks. The full, multivariate likelihood of a parametric max-stable distribution is complicated and only recent advances enable its…
We introduce three models of fragmentation in which the largest fragment in the system can be broken at each time step with a fixed probability, p. We solve these models exactly in the long time limit to reveal stable time invariant…
In this paper we consider the problem of finding stable maxima of expensive (to evaluate) functions. We are motivated by the optimisation of physical and industrial processes where, for some input ranges, small and unavoidable variations in…
A study of persistence dynamics is made for the first time in a quantum system by considering the dynamics of a quantum random walk. For a discrete walk on a line starting at $x=0$ at time $t=0$, the persistence probability $P(x,t)$ that a…
We investigate the asymptotic behavior of sample functions of stable processes when $t{\to}\infty$. We compare our results with the iterated logarithm law, results for the first hitting time and most visited sites problems.
This paper concentrates on the minimal hitting probability of continuous-time controlled Markov systems (CTCMSs) with countable state and finite admissible action spaces. The existence of an optimal policy is first proved. In particular,…
We show how to perform full likelihood inference for max-stable multivariate distributions or processes based on a stochastic Expectation-Maximisation algorithm, which combines statistical and computational efficiency in high-dimensions.…
We study the two-dimensional joint distribution of the first hitting time of a constant level by a continuous-state branching process with immigration and their primitive stopped at this time. We show an explicit expression of its Laplace…
Conditioning stable L\'evy processes on zero probability events recently became a tractable subject since several explicit formulas emerged from a deep analysis using the Lamperti transformations for self-similar Markov processes. In this…
Given two metastable states A and B of a biomolecular system, the problem is to calculate the likely paths of the transition from A to B. Such a calculation is more informative and more manageable if done for a reduced set of collective…
The most well known probability distribution of probabilities is the Beta distribution. If we have observed $r$ `successes', each having a probability $\theta$, and $n-r$ `failures', each having a probability $1-\theta$. In this paper we…
For a time-changed symmetric $\alpha$-stable process killed upon hitting zero, under the condition of entrance from infinity, we prove the existence and uniqueness of quasi-stationary distribution (QSD). The exponential convergence to the…
Let $\mathcal X=\{\mathcal X_t:\, t\geq0,\, \mathcal X_0=0\}$ be a mean zero $\beta$-stable random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ with inhomogeneous jump rates $\{\tau_i^{-1}: i\in\mathbb{Z}\}$, with $\beta\in(1,2]$ and $\{\tau_i: i\in\mathbb{Z}\}$ a…
We consider an inhomogeneous symmetric simple exclusion process on a one-dimensional lattice with open boundary conditions. The time scale is continuous. Particles of different types arrive to the utmost left and the utmost right site. If a…
We prove that for any $\alpha$-mixing stationnary process the hitting time of any $n$-string $A_n$ converges, when suitably normalized, to an exponential law. We identify the normalization constant $\lambda(A_n)$. A similar statement holds…
We study the stabilization time of two common types of influence propagation. In majority processes, nodes in a graph want to switch to the most frequent state in their neighborhood, while in minority processes, nodes want to switch to the…
We create mechanically stable (MS) packings of bidisperse disks using an algorithm in which we successively grow or shrink soft repulsive disks followed by energy minimization until the overlaps are vanishingly small. We focus on small…