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Related papers: On the Hitting Probability of Max-Stable Processes

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Self-exciting point processes describe the manner in which every event facilitates the occurrence of succeeding events. By increasing excitability, the event occurrences start to exhibit bursts even in the absence of external stimuli. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-05-01 Tomokatsu Onaga , Shigeru Shinomoto

We consider dynamical systems $(X,T,\mu)$ which have exponential decay of correlations for either H\"older continuous functions or functions of bounded variation. Given a sequence of balls $(B_n)_{n=1}^\infty$, we give sufficient conditions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Charis Ganotaki , Tomas Persson

Repeatedly-monitored quantum walks with a rate $1/\tau$ yield discrete-time trajectories which are inherently random. With these paths the first-hitting time with sharp restart is studied. We find an instability in the optimal mean hitting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-28 Ruoyu Yin , Qingyuan Wang , Eli Barkai

We consider a branching random walk initiated by a single particle at location 0 in which particles alternately reproduce according to the law of a Galton-Watson process and disperse according to the law of a driftless random walk on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-31 Steven P. Lalley , Yuan Shao

If $X$ is a spectrally positive stable process of index $\alpha\in(1,2)$ whose L\'{e}vy measure has density $cx^{-\alpha-1}$ on $(0,\infty),$ and $S_1=\sup_{0<t\leq1}X_t,$ it is known that $P(S_1>x)\backsim c\alpha^{-1}x^{-\alpha}$ as…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 R. A. Doney

Getoor in [3] calculated the mean exit time from a ball for the standard isotropic $\alpha$-stable process in $\mathbb{R}^d$ starting from the interior of the ball. The purpose of this note is to show that, up to multplicative constant, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Michal Ryznar

Consider a stable L\'evy process $X=(X_t,t\geq 0)$ and let $T_x$, for $x>0$, denote the first passage time of $X$ above the level $x$. In this work, we give an alternative proof of the absolute continuity of the law of $T_x$ and we obtain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Fernando Cordero

In this paper, we study the optimal multiple stopping problem under the filtration consistent nonlinear expectations. The reward is given by a set of random variables satisfying some appropriate assumptions rather than an RCLL process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Hanwu Li

We investigate extreme value statistics (EVS) of general discrete time and continuous space symmetric jump processes. We first show that for unbounded jump processes, the semi-infinite propagator $G_0(x,n)$, defined as the probability for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-08 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

We study a large class of reversible Markov chains with discrete state space and transition matrix $P_N$. We define the notion of a set of {\it metastable points} as a subset of the state space $\G_N$ such that (i) this set is reached from…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Bovier , M. Eckhoff , V. Gayrard , M. Klein

Theory and application of stochastic approximation (SA) have become increasingly relevant due in part to applications in optimization and reinforcement learning. This paper takes a new look at SA with constant step-size $\alpha>0$, defined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Caio Kalil Lauand , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean Meyn

Motivated by a risk process with positive and negative premium rates, we consider a real-valued Markov additive process with finitely many background states. This additive process linearly increases or decreases while the background state…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Masakiyo Miyazawa

We investigate what happens when an entire sample path of a smooth Gaussian process on a compact interval lies above a high level. Specifically, we determine the precise asymptotic probability of such an event, the extent to which the high…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We consider small perturbations of a dynamical system on the one-dimensional torus. We derive sharp estimates for the pre-factor of the stationary state, we examine the asymptotic behavior of the solutions of the Hamilton-Jacobi equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-19 C. Landim , I. Seo

We develop criteria for recurrence and transience of one-dimensional Markov processes which have jumps and oscillate between $+\infty$ and $-\infty$. The conditions are based on a Markov chain which only consists of jumps (overshoots) of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Björn Böttcher

In the classical stochastic resetting problem, a particle, moving according to some stochastic dynamics, undergoes random interruptions that bring it to a selected domain, and then, the process recommences. Hitherto, the resetting mechanism…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-08 Carlos A. Plata , Deepak Gupta , Sandro Azaele

In this work we study the mass-spring system \begin{equation} \ddot x + \alpha \dot x + x = - \frac{\lambda} {(1+x)^{2}}, \label{e:inertia} \end{equation} which is a simplified model for an electrostatically actuated MEMS device. The static…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Gilberto Flores

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent nonnegative random variables (r.v.'s), with $S_n:=X_1+\dots+X_n$ and finite values of $s_i:=E X_i^2$ and $m_i:=E X_i>0$. Exact upper bounds on $E f(S_n)$ for all functions $f$ in a certain class…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

The performance of decision policies and prediction models often deteriorates when applied to environments different from the ones seen during training. To ensure reliable operation, we analyze the stability of a system under distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Hongseok Namkoong , Yuanzhe Ma , Peter W. Glynn

The first hitting times of a stochastic process, i.e., the first time a process reaches a particular level, are of significant interest across various scientific disciplines, including biology, chemistry, and economics. We modify the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-24 Bartosz Zbik , Bartłomiej Dybiec , Karol Capała , Zbigniew Palmowski , Igor M. Sokolov
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