Related papers: On the Hitting Probability of Max-Stable Processes

With any max-stable random process $\eta$ on $\mathcal{X}=\mathbb{Z}^d$ or $\mathbb{R}^d$, we associate a random tessellation of the parameter space $\mathcal{X}$. The construction relies on the Poisson point process representation of the…

Consider the max-stable process $\eta(t) = \max_{i\in\mathbb N} U_i \rm{e}^{\langle X_i, t\rangle - \kappa(t)}$, $t\in\mathbb{R}^d$, where $\{U_i, i\in\mathbb{N}\}$ are points of the Poisson process with intensity $u^{-2}\rm{d} u$ on…

This paper is devoted to the prediction problem in extreme value theory. Our main result is an explicit expression of the regular conditional distribution of a max-stable (or max-infinitely divisible) process $\{\eta(t)\}_{t\in T}$ given…

We present an approximate calculation for the distribution of the maximum of a smooth stationary temporal signal X(t). As an application, we compute the persistence exponent associated to the probability that the process remains below a…

This paper provides the basis for new methods of inference for max-stable processes \xi\ on general spaces that admit a certain incremental representation, which, in important cases, has a much simpler structure than the max-stable process…

We present the universal features of the hitting probability $Q(x,L)$, the probability that a generic stochastic process starting at $x$ and evolving in a box $[0,L]$ hits the upper boundary $L$ before hitting the lower boundary at 0. For a…

A one-dimensional, continuous, regular, and strong Markov process $X$ with state space $E$ hits any point $z \in E$ fast with positive probability. To wit, if $\tau_z = \inf \{t \geq 0:X_{t} = z\}$, then $P_\xi({ \tau}_z<\varepsilon)>0$ for…

For a random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}$ that is attracted to a strictly stable process with index $\alpha\in (1, 2)$ we obtain the asymptotic form of the transition probability for the walk killed when it hits a finite set.…

We study the hitting times of Markov processes to target set $G$, starting from a reference configuration $x_0$ or its basin of attraction. The configuration $x_0$ can correspond to the bottom of a (meta)stable well, while the target $G$…

Being the max-analogue of $\alpha$-stable stochastic processes, max-stable processes form one of the fundamental classes of stochastic processes. With the arrival of sufficient computational capabilities, they have become a benchmark in the…

In this article, the small ball probability is obtained for the collision local time of two independent symmetric $\alpha-$stable processes with parameters $\alpha_1,\alpha_2\in(0,2]$ satisfying $\max\{\alpha_1,\alpha_2\}>1$. The proof is…

We compute the probability of finding metastable states at a given field in the mean-field random field Ising model at T=0. Remarkably, this probability is finite in the thermodynamic limit, even on the so-called ``unstable'' branch of the…

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Many physical phenomena are modeled as stochastic searchers looking for targets. In these models, the probability that a searcher finds a particular target, its so-called hitting probability, is often of considerable interest. In this work…

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ $d >2$, having increments $e_1$, $-e_i+e_{i+1}$ $i=1,2,3,...,d-1$ and $-e_d$ with probabilities $\lambda$, $\mu_1$, $\mu_2$,...,$\mu_d$, where $\{e_1,e_2,..,e_d\}$ are the standard…

For a scalar Gaussian process $B$ on $\mathbb{R}_{+}$ with a prescribed general variance function $\gamma^{2}\left(r\right) =\mathrm{Var}\left(B\left(r\right) \right) $ and a canonical metric $\mathrm{E}[\left(B\left(t\right)…

We show that the hitting times for points of real $\alpha-$stable L\'evy processes ($1<\alpha\le 2$) are unimodal random variables. The argument relies on strong unimodality and several recent multiplicative identities in law. In the…

Full likelihood-based inference for high-dimensional multivariate extreme value distributions, or max-stable processes, is feasible when incorporating occurrence times of the maxima; without this information, $d$-dimensional likelihood…

A variety of systems in physics, chemistry, biology, and psychology are modeled in terms of diffusing "searchers" looking for "targets." Examples range from gene regulation, to cell sensing, to human decision-making. A commonly studied…

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…