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Men who have sex with men (MSM) remain disproportionately affected by HIV, yet optimizing Pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) distribution remains a public health challenge. Current guidelines and most modelling studies do not incorporate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-17 João Brázia , István Z. Kiss , Alexandre P. Francisco , Andreia Sofia Teixeira

To make informed health policy decisions regarding a treatment, we must consider both its cost and its clinical effectiveness. In past work, we introduced the net benefit separation (NBS) as a novel measure of cost-effectiveness. The NBS is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-27 Nicholas Illenberger , Nandita Mitra , Andrew J. Spieker

Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

In this work we propose a model for gene expression based on the theory of random dynamical systems (RDS) and show that it has a "modularity property" in the following sense: given any collection of genes that are linked in a…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-21 Fernando Antoneli , Renata C. Ferreira , Francisco Bosco , Marcelo R. S. Briones

Random networks are a powerful tool in the analytical modeling of complex networks as they allow us to write approximate mathematical models for diverse properties and behaviors of networks. One notable shortcoming of these models is that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-10 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Márton Pósfai , Antoine Allard

HIV dynamic studies have contributed significantly to the understanding of HIV pathogenesis and antiviral treatment strategies for AIDS patients. Establishing the relationship of virologic responses with clinical factors and covariates…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-19 Yangxin Huang , Hulin Wu , Jeanne Holden-Wiltse , Edward P. Acosta

Risk modeling with EHR data is challenging due to a lack of direct observations on the disease outcome, and the high dimensionality of the candidate predictors. In this paper, we develop a surrogate assisted semi-supervised-learning (SAS)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Jue Hou , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

We propose an online false discovery rate (FDR) controlling method based on conditional local FDR (LIS), designed for infectious disease datasets that are discrete and exhibit complex dependencies. Unlike existing online FDR methods, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Seohwa Hwang , Junyong Park

An increasing amount of geo-referenced mobile phone data enables the identification of behavioral patterns, habits and movements of people. With this data, we can extract the knowledge potentially useful for many applications including the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-24 Sanja Brdar , Katarina Gavric , Dubravko Culibrk , Vladimir Crnojevic

HIV is a retrovirus that attacks the human immune system and can lead to death without proper treatment. In collaboration with the WHO and Wits University, we study how to improve the efficiency of HIV testing with the goal of eventual…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Akseli Kangaslahti , Davin Choo , Lingkai Kong , Milind Tambe , Alastair van Heerden , Cheryl Johnson

Snowball sampling is the common name for sampling designs on human populations where respondents are requested to share the questionnaire among their social ties. With some exceptions, estimates from snowball samplings are considered…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-06 Giulio Cantone , Venera Tomaselli

Estimating HIV-1 incidence using biomarker assays in cross-sectional surveys is important for understanding the HIV pandemic. However, the utility of these estimates has been limited by uncertainty about what input parameters to use for…

A Relational Dependency Network (RDN) is a directed graphical model widely used for multi-relational data. These networks allow cyclic dependencies, necessary to represent relational autocorrelations. We describe an approach for learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-10 Oliver Schulte , Zhensong Qian , Arthur E. Kirkpatrick , Xiaoqian Yin , Yan Sun

Binary density ratio estimation (DRE), the problem of estimating the ratio $p_1/p_2$ given their empirical samples, provides the foundation for many state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms such as contrastive representation learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Lantao Yu , Yujia Jin , Stefano Ermon

The theory of sampling and the reconstruction of data has a wide range of applications and a rich collection of techniques. For many methods a core problem is the estimation of the number of samples needed in order to secure a stable and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Laura Thesing , Anders Christian Hansen

Complex survey designs are commonly employed in many medical cohorts. In such scenarios, developing case-specific predictive risk score models that reflect the unique characteristics of the study design is essential for minimizing selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Marcos Matabuena , Juan C. Vidal , Rahul Ghosal , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

A susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model of multiple contagions on multilayer networks is developed to incorporate different spreading channels and disease mutations. The basic reproduction number for this model is estimated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Petar Jovanovski , Igor Tomovski , Ljupco Kocarev

Network regression with additive node-level random effects can be problematic when the primary interest is estimating unconditional regression coefficients and some covariates are exactly or nearly in the vector space of node-level effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-01 Ian Taylor , Kayleigh P. Keller , Bailey K. Fosdick

As the global HIV pandemic enters its fourth decade, increasing numbers of surveillance sites have been established which allows countries to look into the epidemics at a finer scale, e.g. at sub-national level. However, the epidemic models…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-18 Le Bao , Mary Mahy , Xiaoyue Niu , Tim Brown , Peter Ghys

The regression discontinuity (RD) design is a popular approach to causal inference in non-randomized studies. This is because it can be used to identify and estimate causal effects under mild conditions. Specifically, for each subject, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-11 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker