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Human behavior plays a critical role in shaping epidemic trajectories. During health crises, people respond in diverse ways in terms of self-protection and adherence to recommended measures, largely reflecting differences in how individuals…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-30 Fabio Mazza , Gabriele Ricci , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Sandro Meloni , Fabio Saracco

We consider settings in which the distribution of a multivariate random variable is partly ambiguous. We assume the ambiguity lies on the level of the dependence structure, and that the marginal distributions are known. Furthermore, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Stephan Eckstein , Michael Kupper , Mathias Pohl

A prominent threat to causal inference about peer effects over social networks is the presence of homophily bias, that is, social influence between friends and families is entangled with common characteristics or underlying similarities…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-18 Lan Liu , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

The spread of sexually transmitted diseases (e.g. Chlamydia, Syphilis, Gonorrhea, HIV) across populations is a major concern for scientists and health agencies. In this context, both data collection on sexual contact networks and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 J. Gomez-Gardenes , V. Latora , Y. Moreno , E. V. Profumo

Random forests is a state-of-the-art supervised machine learning method which behaves well in high-dimensional settings although some limitations may happen when $p$, the number of predictors, is much larger than the number of observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Louis Capitaine , Robin Genuer , Rodolphe Thiébaut

Statistical inference for high-dimensional regression heteroskedasticity is an important but under-explored problem. The current paper aims at filling this gap by proposing two tests, namely the variance difference test and the variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Chi Chien-Ming

We propose a new estimation method for heterogeneous causal effects which utilizes a regression discontinuity (RD) design for multiple datasets with different thresholds. The standard RD design is frequently used in applied researches, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-14 Takayuki Toda , Ayako Wakano , Takahiro Hoshino

We study a multi-type SIR epidemic process among a heterogeneous population that interacts through a network. When we base social contact on a random graph with given vertex degrees, we give limit theorems on the fraction of infected…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-02 Hamed Amini , Andreea Minca

We investigate a relationship network of humans located in a metric space where relationships are drawn according to a distance-dependent probability density. The obtained spatial graph allows us to calculate the average separation of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Matus Medo

Quasi-experimental evaluations are central for generating real-world causal evidence and complementing insights from randomized trials. The regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental design that can be used to estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Maximilian Schuessler , Erik Sverdrup , Robert Tibshirani , Stefan Wager

In order to sample marginalized and/or hard-to-reach populations, respondent-driven sampling (RDS) and similar techniques reach their participants via peer referral. Under a Markov model for RDS, previous research has shown that if the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Sebastien Roch , Karl Rohe

Penalized logistic regression is extremely useful for binary classification with large number of covariates (higher than the sample size), having several real life applications, including genomic disease classification. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh , María Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

In this paper, we study the $SIS$ (susceptible-infected-susceptible) and $SIR$ (susceptible-infected-removed) epidemic models on undirected, weighted networks by deriving pairwise-type approximate models coupled with individual-based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-22 Prapanporn Rattana , Konstantin B. Blyuss , Ken T. D. Eames , Istvan Z. Kiss

Collecting complete network data is expensive, time-consuming, and often infeasible. Aggregated Relational Data (ARD), which capture information about a social network by asking a respondent questions of the form ``How many people with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 Emily Breza , Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Shane Lubold , Tyler H. McCormick , Mengjie Pan

Statistical learning (SL) includes methods that extract knowledge from complex data. SL methods beyond generalized linear models are being increasingly implemented in public health research and epidemiology because they can perform better…

This thesis presents Regenerative Rejection Sampling (RRS), a novel approximate sampling algorithm inspired by classical Rejection Sampling and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. The method constructs a continuous-time regenerative process…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-01 Tommaso Bozzi

Individual contributions to the spread of an epidemic vary widely due to an individual's location in a social network and their intrinsic ability to spread or contract diseases. While the effect of heterogeneous population structure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-14 Abhay Gupta , Nicholas W. Landry

With the growing realization that transport systems must operate satisfactorily not only in typical situations, but also in adverse circumstances, ensuring redundancies in road systems has gained crucial importance. In this context, several…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-04 André Borgato Morelli , André Luiz Cunha

The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model is a canonical model for emerging disease outbreaks. Such outbreaks are naturally modeled as taking place on networks. A theoretical challenge in network epidemiology is the dynamic correlations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-29 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi Wu , Michael Z. Q. Chen , Petter Holme , Jian-Yue Guan

Accurate HIV incidence estimation based on individual recent infection status (recent vs long-term infection) is important for monitoring the epidemic, targeting interventions to those at greatest risk of new infection, and evaluating…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Ben Sheng , Changcheng Li , Le Bao , Runze Li
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