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This paper deals with the estimation of population sizes for respondent-driven sampling (RDS), a variant of link-tracing sampling that leverages social networks over a number of waves to recruit individuals from hidden populations. The RDS…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Mamadou Yauck

Ending the HIV/AIDS pandemic is among the Sustainable Development Goals for the next decade. In order to overcome the gap between the need for care and the available resources, better understanding of HIV epidemics is needed to guide policy…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-03 Zhou Lan , Le Bao

The Regression Discontinuity (RD) design is a quasi-experimental design which emulates a randomised study by exploiting situations where treatment is assigned according to a continuous variable as is common in many drug treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-28 Sara Geneletti , Federico Ricciardi , Aidan O'Keeffe , Gianluca Baio

Molecular HIV Surveillance (MHS) has been described as key to enabling rapid responses to HIV outbreaks. It operates by linking individuals with genetically similar viral sequences, which forms a network. A major limitation of MHS is that…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-24 Ravi Goyal , Kevin Nguyen , Victor De Gruttola , Susan J Little , Colby Cohen , Natasha K Martin

In this article, we propose using network-based sampling strategies to estimate the number of unsheltered people experiencing homelessness within a given administrative service unit, known as a Continuum of Care. We demonstrate the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Zack W. Almquist , Ashley Hazel , Owen Kajfasz , Janelle Rothfolk , Claire Guilmette , Mary-Catherine Anderson , Larisa Ozeryansky , Amy Hagopian

Current methods for population mean estimation from data collected by Respondent Driven Sampling (RDS) are based on the Horvitz-Thompson estimator together with a set of assumptions on the sampling model under which the inclusion…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Adityanand Guntuboyina , Russell Barbour , Robert Heimer

This research reports on the relationship and significance of social-economic factors (age, sex, employment status) and modes of HIV/AIDS transmission to the HIV/AIDS spread. Logistic regression model, a form of probabilistic function for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 A. O. Bello , F. A. Oguntolu , O. M. Adetutu , J. P. Ojedokun

Cross-sectional HIV incidence estimation leverages recency test results to determine the HIV incidence of a population of interest, where recency test uses biomarker profiles to infer whether an HIV-positive individual was "recently"…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Qi Wang , Ann Duerr , Fei Gao

In this article, we propose a network spread model for HIV epidemics, wherein each individual is represented by a node of the transmission network and the edges are the connections between individuals along which the infection may spread.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-08-29 Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

A central challenge in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) public health policy lies in determining whether to universally expand treatment access, despite the risk of sub-optimal adherence and consequent drug resistance, or to adopt a more…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-16 Ashish Poonia , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

A simple deterministic model is proposed to represent the basic aspects concerning the effects of different antiretroviral treatment schedules on HIV incidence and prevalence of affected populations. The model mimics current treatment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-09-29 L. F. Lopez , F. A. B. Coutinho , M. N. Burattini , E. Massad

Recently, graph (network) data is an emerging research area in artificial intelligence, machine learning and statistics. In this work, we are interested in whether node's labels (people's responses) are affected by their neighbor's features…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Haixiang Zhang , Yingjun Deng , Alan J. X. Guo , Qing-Hu Hou , Ou Wu

This paper explores bias in the estimation of sampling variance in Respondent Driven Sampling (RDS). Prior methodological work on RDS has focused on its problematic assumptions and the biases and inefficiencies of its estimators of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-07 Ashton M. Verdery , Ted Mouw , Shawn Bauldry , Peter J. Mucha

The problem of mapping human close-range proximity networks has been tackled using a variety of technical approaches. Wearable electronic devices, in particular, have proven to be particularly successful in a variety of settings relevant…

The sampling frame in most social science surveys excludes members of certain groups, known as hard-to-reach groups. These groups, or subpopulations, may be difficult to access (the homeless, e.g.), camouflaged by stigma (individuals with…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Tyler H. McCormick , Tian Zheng

Network models are increasingly used to study infectious disease spread. Exponential Random Graph models have a history in this area, with scalable inference methods now available. An alternative approach uses mechanistic network models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Octavious Smiley , Till Hoffmann , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We propose a novel methodology for discovering the presence of relationships realized as binary time series between variables in high dimension. To make it visually intuitive, we regard the existence of a relationship as an edge connection,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Masaki Toyoda , Yoshimasa Uematsu

Dual-record system (DRS) (equivalently two sample Capture-recapture experiment) model with time and behavioral response variation, has attracted much attention specifically in the domain of Official Statistics and Epidemiology. The relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-09 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Diganta Mukherjee