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In this paper, new results in random matrix theory are derived which allow us to construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio when the shrinkage target is a random object. More specifically, the shrinkage…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsen

Regime-switching poses both problems and opportunities for portfolio managers. If a switch in the behaviour of the markets is not quickly detected it can be a source of loss, since previous trading positions may be inappropriate in the new…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

Recognizing that asset markets generally exhibit shared informational characteristics, we develop a portfolio strategy based on transfer learning that leverages cross-market information to enhance the investment performance in the market of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Kexin Wang , Xiaomeng Zhang , Xinyu Zhang

In this paper, we study adaptive online convex optimization, and aim to design a universal algorithm that achieves optimal regret bounds for multiple common types of loss functions. Existing universal methods are limited in the sense that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Guanghui Wang , Shiyin Lu , Lijun Zhang

In this project, we propose to explore the Kalman filter's performance for estimating asset prices. We begin by introducing a stochastic mean-reverting processes, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) model. After this we discuss the Kalman filter in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-10 Michael Sekatchev , Zhengxiang Zhou

The two-sided markets such as ride-sharing companies often involve a group of subjects who are making sequential decisions across time and/or location. With the rapid development of smart phones and internet of things, they have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Chengchun Shi , Runzhe Wan , Ge Song , Shikai Luo , Rui Song , Hongtu Zhu

Machine learning driven trading strategies have garnered a lot of interest over the past few years. There is, however, limited consensus on the ideal approach for the development of such trading strategies. Further, most literature has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Prasang Gupta , Shaz Hoda , Anand Rao

Traditional online algorithms encapsulate decision making under uncertainty, and give ways to hedge against all possible future events, while guaranteeing a nearly optimal solution as compared to an offline optimum. On the other hand,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Thodoris Lykouris , Sergei Vassilvitskii

Artificial intelligence is transforming financial investment decision-making frameworks, with deep reinforcement learning demonstrating substantial potential in robo-advisory applications. This paper addresses the limitations of traditional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-24 Gang Huang , Xiaohua Zhou , Qingyang Song

Offline Reinforcement Learning (RL) aims to learn a near-optimal policy from a fixed dataset of transitions collected by another policy. This problem has attracted a lot of attention recently, but most existing methods with strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Germano Gabbianelli , Gergely Neu , Nneka Okolo , Matteo Papini

Multi-objective Reinforcement Learning (MORL) seeks to develop policies that simultaneously optimize multiple conflicting objectives, but it requires extensive online interactions. Offline MORL provides a promising solution by training on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Yifu Yuan , Zhenrui Zheng , Zibin Dong , Jianye Hao

Inspired by the recent successes of Inverse Optimization (IO) across various application domains, we propose a novel offline Reinforcement Learning (ORL) algorithm for continuous state and action spaces, leveraging the convex loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Ioannis Dimanidis , Tolga Ok , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Conventional hyperparameter optimization methods are computationally intensive and hard to generalize to scenarios that require dynamically adapting hyperparameters, such as life-long learning. Here, we propose an online hyperparameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Daniel Jiwoong Im , Cristina Savin , Kyunghyun Cho

Accurate stock market prediction provides great opportunities for informed decision-making, yet existing methods struggle with financial data's non-linear, high-dimensional, and volatile characteristics. Advanced predictive models are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-20 Yuxi Hong

Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) is attractive in scenarios where reward engineering can be tedious. However, prior IRL algorithms use on-policy transitions, which require intensive sampling from the current policy for stable and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Hana Hoshino , Kei Ota , Asako Kanezaki , Rio Yokota

Multi-Objective Reinforcement Learning (MORL) is a generalization of traditional Reinforcement Learning (RL) that aims to optimize multiple, often conflicting objectives simultaneously rather than focusing on a single reward. This approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Davide Guidobene , Lorenzo Benedetti , Diego Arapovic

Multi-objective reinforcement learning (MORL) is a relatively new field which builds on conventional Reinforcement Learning (RL) to solve multi-objective problems. One of common algorithm is to extend scalar value Q-learning by using vector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Kewen Ding

Active portfolio management tries to incorporate any source of meaningful information into the asset selection process. In this contribution we consider qualitative views specified as total orders of the expected asset returns and discuss…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Eranda Çela , Stephan Hafner , Roland Mestel , Ulrich Pferschy

Online nonparametric estimators are gaining popularity due to their efficient computation and competitive generalization abilities. An important example includes variants of stochastic gradient descent. These algorithms often take one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Tianyu Zhang , Jing Lei

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal