Related papers: On-Line Portfolio Selection with Moving Average Re…
We develop and describe online algorithms for performing online semiparametric regression analyses. Earlier work on this topic is in Luts, Broderick & Wand (J. Comput. Graph. Statist., 2014) where online mean field variational Bayes was…
Momentum and mean reversion trading strategies have opposite characteristics. The former is generally better with trending assets, and the latter is generally better with mean reverting assets. Using the Hurst exponent, which classifies…
This paper provides an empirical study explores the application of deep learning algorithms-Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Transformer-in constructing long-short stock…
This paper introduces a unified framework for adaptive portfolio management, integrating dynamic Black-Litterman (BL) optimization with the general factor model, Elastic Net regression, and mean-variance portfolio optimization, which allows…
This paper considers the mean-reverting portfolio design problem arising from statistical arbitrage in the financial markets. We first propose a general problem formulation aimed at finding a portfolio of underlying component assets by…
The dynamic portfolio construction problem requires dynamic modeling of the joint distribution of multivariate stock returns. To achieve this, we propose a dynamic generative factor model which uses random variable transformation as an…
Continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process driven by simple semi-L\'evy process has periodically correlated property with many potential application in finance. In this paper, we study on the estimation of the parameters…
The Average Oracle, a simple and very fast covariance filtering method, is shown to yield superior Sharpe ratios than the current state-of-the-art (and complex) methods, Dynamic Conditional Covariance coupled to Non-Linear Shrinkage…
With the success of offline reinforcement learning (RL), offline trained RL policies have the potential to be further improved when deployed online. A smooth transfer of the policy matters in safe real-world deployment. Besides, fast…
Offline multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) aims to learn the optimal joint policy from pre-collected datasets, requiring a trade-off between maximizing global returns and mitigating distribution shift from offline data. Recent…
The estimation of loss distributions for dynamic portfolios requires the simulation of scenarios representing realistic joint dynamics of their components. We propose a novel data-driven approach for simulating realistic, high-dimensional…
Offline-to-Online Reinforcement Learning has emerged as a powerful paradigm, leveraging offline data for initialization and online fine-tuning to enhance both sample efficiency and performance. However, most existing research has focused on…
In this paper, we present an extended exploratory continuous-time mean-variance framework for portfolio management. Our strategy involves a new clustering method based on simulated annealing, which allows for more practical asset selection.…
Portfolio construction traditionally relies on separately estimating expected returns and covariance matrices using historical statistics, often leading to suboptimal allocation under time-varying market conditions. This paper proposes a…
How effective are the most common trading models? The answer may help investors realize upsides to using each model, act as a segue for investors into more complex financial analysis and machine learning, and to increase financial literacy…
Portfolio management via reinforcement learning is at the forefront of fintech research, which explores how to optimally reallocate a fund into different financial assets over the long term by trial-and-error. Existing methods are…
In the past few years, Online Convex Optimization (OCO) has received notable attention in the control literature thanks to its flexible real-time nature and powerful performance guarantees. In this paper, we propose new step-size rules and…
This study introduces a dynamic investment framework to enhance portfolio management in volatile markets, offering clear advantages over traditional static strategies. Evaluates four conventional approaches : equal weighted, minimum…
Dynamic hedging is the practice of periodically transacting financial instruments to offset the risk caused by an investment or a liability. Dynamic hedging optimization can be framed as a sequential decision problem; thus, Reinforcement…
We present a novel online ensemble learning strategy for portfolio selection. The new strategy controls and exploits any set of commission-oblivious portfolio selection algorithms. The strategy handles transaction costs using a novel…