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We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

In this paper, we examine two problems on applied probability, which are directly connected with the dependence in presence of heavy tails. The first problem, is related to max-sum equivalence of the randomly weighted sums in bi-variate set…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

A novel statistical method is proposed and investigated for estimating a heavy tailed density under mild smoothness assumptions. Statistical analyses of heavy-tailed distributions are susceptible to the problem of sparse information in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-18 Surya T Tokdar , Sheng Jiang , Erika L Cunningham

We consider quadratic Weyl sums $S_N(x;\alpha,\beta)=\sum_{n=1}^N \exp\!\left[2\pi i\left( \left(\tfrac{1}{2}n^2+\beta n\right)\!x+\alpha n\right)\right]$ for $(\alpha,\beta)\in\mathbb{Q}^2$, where $x\in\mathbb{R}$ is randomly distributed…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Francesco Cellarosi , Tariq Osman

The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Natalia Markovich

Heavy-tailed distributions naturally occur in many real life problems. Unfortunately, it is typically not possible to compute inference in closed-form in graphical models which involve such heavy-tailed distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-03-22 Danny Bickson , Carlos Guestrin

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

In this paper, we consider the problem of linear regression with heavy-tailed distributions. Different from previous studies that use the squared loss to measure the performance, we choose the absolute loss, which is capable of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

We consider a two-node fluid network with batch arrivals of random size having a heavy-tailed distribution. We are interested in the tail asymptotics for the stationary distribution of a two-dimensional queue-length process. The tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-25 Sergey Foss , Masakiyo Miyazawa

We propose a new Bayesian strategy for adaptation to smoothness in nonparametric models based on heavy tailed series priors. We illustrate it in a variety of settings, showing in particular that the corresponding Bayesian posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Sergios Agapiou , Ismaël Castillo

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

The dominant approaches to text representation in natural language rely on learning embeddings on massive corpora which have convenient properties such as compositionality and distance preservation. In this paper, we develop a novel method…

Our work aims to study the tail behaviour of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} X_{i} \prod_{j=1}^{i}Y_{j}$, where $(X_{i}, Y_{i})$ are independent and identically distributed, with common joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Krishanu Maulik , Moumanti Podder

In the paper we consider the asymptotics of logarithmic tails of a perpetuity $$R \stackrel{d}{=}\sum_{j=1}^\infty Q_j \prod_{k=1}^{j-1}M_k,\qquad(M_n,Q_n)_{n=1}^\infty \mbox{ are i.i.d. copies of }(M,Q),$$ in the case when…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Bartosz Kołodziejek

Given a sequence $(T_1, T_2, ...)$ of random $d \times d$ matrices with nonnegative entries, suppose there is a random vector $X$ with nonnegative entries, such that $ \sum_{i \ge 1} T_i X_i $ has the same law as $X$, where $(X_1, X_2,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Konrad Kolesko , Sebastian Mentemeier

This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of weighted sums of the form $Z_n=\sum_{i=1}^n a_i X_i$, in which $X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n$ are i.i.d.~random variables and $a_1, a_2, \ldots, a_n$ correspond to either eigenvalues or singular…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Angel Chavez , Jacob Waldor

We obtain decay rates of probabilities of tails of polynomials in several independent random variables with heavy tails and derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of such polynomials

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

This paper contains sharp estimates about the distribution of multiple random integrals of functions of several variables with respect to a normalized empirical measure, about the distribution of U-statistics and multiple Wiener-Ito…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Major

We address a parametric joint detection-estimation problem for discrete signals of the form $x(t) = \sum_{n=1}^{N} \alpha_n e^{-i \lambda_n t } + \epsilon_t$, $t \in \mathbb{N}$, with an additive noise represented by independent centered…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Illya M. Karabash , Jürgen Prestin
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