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We consider the jump telegraph process when switching intensities depend on external shocks also accompanying with jumps. The incomplete financial market model based on this process is studied. The Esscher transform, which changes only…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Nikita Ratanov

This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin

In this paper, a pricing formula for volatility swaps is delivered when the underlying asset follows the stochastic volatility model with jumps and stochastic intensity. By using Feynman-Kac theorem, a partial integral differential equation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-21 Ben-zhang Yang , Jia Yue , Ming-hui Wang , Nan-jing Huang

We propose statistical tests to discriminate between the finite and infinite activity of jumps in a semimartingale discretely observed at high frequency. The two statistics allow for a symmetric treatment of the problem: we can either take…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

In this paper consistency problems for multi-factor jump-diffusion models, where the jump parts follow multivariate point processes are examined. First the gap between jump-diffusion models and generalized Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) models…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Li Chen , H. Vincent Poor

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

The paper tackles the problem of deriving a topological structure among stock prices from high frequency historical values. Similar studies using low frequency data have already provided valuable insights. However, in those cases data need…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Donatello Materassi , Giacomo Innocenti

Since its introduction, some sixty years ago, the Montroll-Weiss continuous time random walk has found numerous applications due its ease of use and ability to describe both regular and anomalous diffusion. Yet, despite its broad…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Maxence Arutkin , Shlomi Reuveni

Point processes model the distribution of random point sets in mathematical spaces, such as spatial and temporal domains, with applications in fields like seismology, neuroscience, and economics. Existing statistical and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 David Lüdke , Enric Rabasseda Raventós , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

Sustaining efficiency and stability by properly controlling the equity to asset ratio is one of the most important and difficult challenges in bank management. Due to unexpected and abrupt decline of asset values, a bank must closely…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-14 Masahiko Egami , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Prices in financial markets exhibit extreme jumps far more often than can be accounted for by external news. Further, magnitudes of price changes are correlated over long times. These so called stylized facts are quantified by scaling laws…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-04 Felix Patzelt , Klaus Pawelzik

We consider structural equation modeling (SEM) with latent variables for diffusion processes based on high-frequency data. We derive the quasi-likelihood estimators for parameters in the SEM. The goodness-of-fit test based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

We consider the problem of optimal investment and consumption in a class of multidimensional jump-diffusion models in which asset prices are subject to mutually exciting jump processes. This captures a type of contagion where each downward…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-08 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , T. R. Hurd

We model continuous-time information flows generated by a number of information sources that switch on and off at random times. By modulating a multi-dimensional L\'evy random bridge over a random point field, our framework relates the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Edward Hoyle , Andrea Macrina , Levent A. Mengütürk

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are used in physics to model anomalous diffusion, by incorporating a random waiting time between particle jumps. In finance, the particle jumps are log-returns and the waiting times measure delay between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-10 Mark M. Meerschaert , Enrico Scalas

In this article, we consider a Markov-modulated model with jumps for short rate dynamics. We obtain closed formulas for the term structure and forward rates using the properties of the jump-telegraph process and the expectation hypothesis.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-11 Oscar Lopez , Gerardo E. Oleaga , Alejandra Sanchez

We show that financial correlations exhibit a non-trivial dynamic behavior. We introduce a simple phenomenological model of a multi-asset financial market, which takes into account the impact of portfolio investment on price dynamics. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Giacomo Raffaelli , Matteo Marsili

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

The non-gaussianity of processes observed in financial markets and relatively good performance of gaussian models can be reconciled by replacing the Brownian motion with Levy processes whose Levy densities decay as exp(-lambda|x|) or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Levendorskii

We build an agent-based model to study how the interplay between low- and high-frequency trading affects asset price dynamics. Our main goal is to investigate whether high-frequency trading exacerbates market volatility and generates flash…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-11 Sandrine Jacob Leal , Mauro Napoletano , Andrea Roventini , Giorgio Fagiolo