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The price clustering phenomenon manifesting itself as an increased occurrence of specific prices is widely observed and well-documented for various financial instruments and markets. In the literature, however, it is rarely incorporated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Vladimír Holý , Petra Tomanová

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

In this paper, we present a new bivariate model for the joint description of the Bitcoin prices and the media attention to Bitcoin. Our model is based on the class of the L\'evy processes and is able to realistically reproduce the jump-type…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-26 Ekaterina Morozova , Vladimir Panov

The dynamics of populations is frequently subject to intrinsic noise. At the same time unknown interaction networks or rate constants can present quenched uncertainty. Existing approaches often involve repeated sampling of the quenched…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-14 Tobias Galla

For high dimensional data, some of the standard statistical techniques do not work well. So modification or further development of statistical methods are necessary. In this paper, we explore these modifications. We start with the important…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

The paper develops a new class of financial market models. These models are based on generalized telegraph processes: Markov random flows with alternating velocities and jumps occurring when the velocities are switching. While such markets…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Nikita Ratanov , Alexander Melnikov

The principle of absence of arbitrage opportunities allows obtaining the distribution of stock price fluctuations by maximizing its information entropy. This leads to a physical description of the underlying dynamics as a random walk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-31 Rosario Bartiromo

We present an option pricing formula for European options in a stochastic volatility model. In particular, the volatility process is defined using a fractional integral of a diffusion process and both the stock price and the volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-29 Marc Lagunas-Merino , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

This paper extends the results of the article [C. Kl\"{u}ppelberg and S. M. Pergamenchtchikov. Optimal consumption and investment with bounded downside risk for power utility functions. In Optimality and Risk: {\it Modern Trends in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-20 Thai Nguyen

This work focuses on stability analysis of numerical solutions to jump diffusions and jump diffusions with Markovian switching. Due to the use of Poisson processes, using asymptotic expansions as in the usual approach of treating diffusion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-11 Zhixin Yang , G. Yin , Haibo Li

Continuous-time stochastic processes play an important role in the description of random phenomena, it is therefore of prime interest to study particular variables depending on their paths, like stopping time for example. One approach…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

This paper introduces a unified approach for modeling high-frequency financial data that can accommodate both the continuous-time jump-diffusion and discrete-time realized GARCH model by embedding the discrete realized GARCH structure in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Xinyu Song , Donggyu Kim , Huiling Yuan , Xiangyu Cui , Zhiping Lu , Yong Zhou , Yazhen Wang

The volatility of financial instruments is rarely constant, and usually varies over time. This creates a phenomenon called volatility clustering, where large price movements on one day are followed by similarly large movements on successive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-08 Gordon J. Ross

Recently, to account for low-frequency market dynamics, several volatility models, employing high-frequency financial data, have been developed. However, in financial markets, we often observe that financial volatility processes depend on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-01 Dohyun Chun , Donggyu Kim

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Matthew Lorig

Score-based modeling through stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has provided a new perspective on diffusion models, and demonstrated superior performance on continuous data. However, the gradient of the log-likelihood function, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Haoran Sun , Lijun Yu , Bo Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Hanjun Dai

The modeling of the probability of joint default or total number of defaults among the firms is one of the crucial problems to mitigate the credit risk since the default correlations significantly affect the portfolio loss distribution and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-08 Puneet Pasricha , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Selvaraju Natarajan

This paper proposes a forecast-centric adaptive learning model that engages with the past studies on the order book and high-frequency data, with applications to hypothesis testing. In line with the past literature, we produce brackets of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-02 Parley Ruogu Yang

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez
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