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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

Inferring chemical reaction networks (CRN) from concentration time series is a challenge encouragedby the growing availability of quantitative temporal data at the cellular level. This motivates thedesign of algorithms to infer the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-09 Julien Martinelli , Jeremy Grignard , Sylvain Soliman , Annabelle Ballesta , François Fages

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

It is critical yet challenging for deep learning models to properly characterize uncertainty that is pervasive in real-world environments. Although a lot of efforts have been made, such as heteroscedastic neural networks (HNNs), little work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Peng Cui , Zhijie Deng , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

In this paper, we construct approximated solutions of Differential Equations (DEs) using the Deep Neural Network (DNN). Furthermore, we present an architecture that includes the process of finding model parameters through experimental data,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Hyeontae Jo , Hwijae Son , Hyung Ju Hwang , Eunheui Kim

Information spreads across social and technological networks, but often the network structures are hidden from us and we only observe the traces left by the diffusion processes, called cascades. Can we recover the hidden network structures…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-14 Hadi Daneshmand , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez , Le Song , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Simulation-based inference techniques are indispensable for parameter estimation of mechanistic and simulable models with intractable likelihoods. While traditional statistical approaches like approximate Bayesian computation and Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Ryan P. Kelly , David J. Nott , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Chris Drovandi

This work reviews deterministic and diffusion approximations of the stochastic chemical reaction networks and explains their applications. We discuss the added value the diffusion approximation provides for systems with different phenomena,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-15 Pavel Mozgunov , Marco Beccuti , Andras Horvath , Thomas Jaki , Roberta Sirovich , Enrico Bibbona

To infer a diffusion network based on observations from historical diffusion processes, existing approaches assume that observation data contain exact occurrence time of each node infection, or at least the eventual infection statuses of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Hao Huang , Qian Yan , Keqi Han , Ting Gan , Jiawei Jiang , Quanqing Xu , Chuanhui Yan

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

The aim of sparse approximation is to estimate a sparse signal according to the measurement matrix and an observation vector. It is widely used in data analytics, image processing, and communication, etc. Up to now, a lot of research has…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-31 Hao Wang , Ruibin Feng , Chi-Sing Leung

We propose a method for adapting neural networks to distribution shifts at test-time. In contrast to training-time robustness mechanisms that attempt to anticipate and counter the shift, we create a closed-loop system and make use of a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Teresa Yeo , Oğuzhan Fatih Kar , Zahra Sodagar , Amir Zamir

Many mainstream robust control/estimation algorithms for power networks are designed using the Lyapunov theory as it provides performance guarantees for linear/nonlinear models of uncertain power networks but comes at the expense of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-01 MirSaleh Bahavarnia , Muhammad Nadeem , Ahmad F. Taha

This study addresses the challenges in parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by non-Gaussian noises, which are critical in understanding dynamic phenomena such as price fluctuations and the spread of infectious…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Shuaiyu Li , Yang Ruan , Changzhou Long , Yuzhong Cheng

In this paper, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique is developed to find solution of celebrated Fractional order Differential Equations (FDE). Compared to integer order differential equation, FDE has the advantage that it can better…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Susmita Mall , S. Chakraverty

We present a new inference method based on approximate Bayesian computation for estimating parameters governing an entire network based on link-traced samples of that network. To do this, we first take summary statistics from an observed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-17 Jack Davis , Steven K. Thompson

We perform approximate inference in state-space models with nonlinear state transitions. Without parameterizing a generative model, we apply Bayesian update formulas using a local linearity approximation parameterized by neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 David Ruhe , Patrick Forré

In Onur et al. ["Cooperative density estimation in random wireless ad hoc networks," IEEE Commun. Lett., vol. 16, no. 3, 269 pp. 331-333, Mar. 2012], two novel density estimation (DE) approaches in wireless random networks were introduced…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-09 Yongchang Hu

In this article, we consider diffusion approximations for a general class of stochastic recursions. Such recursions arise as models for population growth, genetics, financial securities, multiplicative time series, numerical schemes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 David Kelly

This paper proposes an impulse response modeling in presence of input and noisy output of a linear time-invariant (LTI) system. The approach utilizes Relative Entropy (RE) to choose the optimum impulse response estimate, optimum time delay…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Mahdi Shamsi , Soosan Beheshti