English
Related papers

Related papers: Inconsistencies between long-term trends in stormi…

200 papers

We characterise the long-term variability of European near-surface wind speeds using 142 years of data from the Twentieth Century Reanalysis (20CR), and consider the potential of such long-baseline climate data sets for wind energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-09-08 Philip E. Bett , Hazel E. Thornton , Robin T. Clark

We use the Global Historical Climatology Network--daily database to calculate trends in sea-level atmospheric pressures, their variance and the variance of their day-to-day differences in nine regions of the world. Changes in pressure…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-02-05 T. A. Howells , J. I. Katz

One of the defining features of both recent and historical cases of global climate change is Arctic Amplification (AA). This is the more rapid change in the surface air temperature (SAT) in the Arctic compared to some wider reference…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-10-10 Richard Davy , Linling Chen , Edward Hanna

Anthropogenic influences have been linked to tropical cyclone (TC) poleward migration, TC extreme precipitation, and an increased proportion of major hurricanes [1, 2, 3, 4]. Understanding past TC trends and variability is critical for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Buo-Fu Chen , Boyo Chen , Chun-Min Hsiao , Hsu-Feng Teng , Cheng-Shang Lee , Hung-Chi Kuo

We propose a method to reconstruct and analyze a complex network from data generated by a spatio-temporal dynamical system, relying on the nonlinear mutual information of time series analysis and betweenness centrality of complex network…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-02-11 Jonathan F. Donges , Yong Zou , Norbert Marwan , Juergen Kurths

We compare, for the overlapping time frame 1962-2000, the estimate of the northern hemisphere (NH) mid-latitude winter atmospheric variability within the XX century simulations of 17 global climate models (GCMs) included in the IPCC-4AR…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-11 Valerio Lucarini , Sandro Calmanti , Alessandro Dell'Aquila , Paolo M. Ruti , Antonio Speranza

The climate change dispute is about changes over time of environmental characteristics (such as rainfall). Some people say that a possible change is not so much in the mean but rather in the extreme phenomena (that is, the average rainfall…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Laurens de Haan , Albert Klein Tank , Cláudia Neves

We use an extensive NOAA database of hourly precipitation data from 5995 stations in the 48 contiguous United States over the period 1949--2009 to investigate possible trends in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, defined…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-01-25 L. M. Canel , J. I. Katz

The reanalysis datasets provide very important sources for investigating the climate dynamics and climate changes in Antarctica. In this paper, three major reanalysis data are compared with Antarctic station data over the last 35 years: the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-01-11 Yang Wang , Dong Zhou , Armin Bunde , Shlomo Havlin

We present initial results of a study on the variability of wind speeds across Europe over the past 140 yr, making use of the recent Twentieth Century Reanalysis data set, which includes uncertainty estimates from an ensemble method of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-04-04 Philip E. Bett , Hazel E. Thornton , Robin T. Clark

Earth's energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere is a key climate system metric, but its natural variability is poorly constrained by the short observational record and large uncertainty in coupled climate models. While existing ocean…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Dominik Stiller , Gregory J. Hakim

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Spatiotemporal variations in thunderstorm occurrence frequency are considered here using an environmental dataset derived from ERA5 reanalysis data. Interannual variability in the thunderstorm environments is examined for the period…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 Andrew Dowdy , Andrew Brown , Todd Lane , Mateusz Taszarek

Assessing the consistency between short-term global temperature trends in observations and climate model projections is a challenging problem. While climate models capture many processes governing short-term climate fluctuations, they are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-09-23 Patrick J. Michaels , Paul C. Knappenberger , John R. Christy , Chad S. Herman , Lucia M. Liljegren , James D. Annan

An estimate of the net direction of climate interactions in different geographical regions is made by constructing a directed climate network from a regular latitude-longitude grid of nodes, using a directionality index (DI) based on…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-23 J. Ignacio Deza , Cristina Masoller , Marcelo Barreiro

Given uncertainties in physical theory and numerical climate simulations, the historical temperature record is often used as a source of empirical information about climate change. Many historical trend analyses appear to deemphasize…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-16 Andrew Poppick , Elisabeth J. Moyer , Michael L. Stein

Climate models are often affected by long-term drift that is revealed by the evolution of global variables such as the ocean temperature or the surface air temperature. This spurious trend reduces the fidelity to initial conditions and has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-20 Maura Brunetti , Christian Vérard

Variability in sea ice conditions, combined with strong couplings to the atmosphere and the ocean, lead to a broad range of complex sea ice dynamics. More in-situ measurements are needed to better identify the phenomena and mechanisms that…

Most climate trend studies analyze long-term trends as a proxy for climate dynamics. However, when examining seasonal data, it is unrealistic to assume that long-term trends remain consistent across all seasons. Instead, each season likely…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jaechoul Lee , Mintaek Lee , Thea Sukianto

Revealing the ongoing changes in ocean dynamics and their impact on marine ecosystems requires the joint analysis of multiple variables. Yet, global observational records only cover a few decades, posing a challenge in the separation of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-01 Bruno Buongiorno Nardelli , Daniele Iudicone
‹ Prev 1 2 3 10 Next ›