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Related papers: Reconstructed Total Solar Irradiance as a precurso…

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The Maunder minimum (MM) of greatly reduced solar activity took place in 1645-1715, but the exact level of sunspot activity is uncertain as based, to a large extent, on historical generic statements of the absence of spots on the Sun. Here…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-11 J. M. Vaquero , G. A. Kovaltsov , I. G. Usoskin , V. M. S. Carrasco , M. C. Gallego

This research work is based on the study of the longitudinal distribution of the most active sunspot zones on the photosphere. Sunspot data has been analyzed for 12 solar cycles (cycles 12-23) separately for northern and southern…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-17 Abdul Malik , Martin Bohm

Polar fields at the minimum of a sunspot cycle -- which are a manifestation of the radial component of the Sun's poloidal field -- are deemed to be the best indicator of the strength of the toroidal component, and hence the amplitude of the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-15 Srinjana Routh , Shaonwita Pal , Dibyendu Nandy , Subhamoy Chatterjee , Dipankar Banerjee , Mohd. Saleem Khan

The aim of this work is to create a long (410 years) series of average annual total sunspot areas AR - physically-based index of sunspot activity. We used telescopic observations of the AR index in 1832-1868 and 1875-2020, as well as the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-07 Yury A. Nagovitsyn , Aleksandra A. Osipova

The apparently unusual behaviour of the TSI during the most recent minimum of solar activity has been interpreted as evidence against solar surface magnetism as the main driver of the secular change in the TSI. We test claims that the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki , W. Schmutz

We report a data-parsimonious machine learning model for short-term forecasting of solar irradiance. The model inputs include sky camera images that are reduced to scalar features to meet data transmission constraints. The output irradiance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Joshua Edward Hammond , Ricardo A. Lara Orozco , Michael Baldea , Brian A. Korgel

Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

We analysed the combined data of sunspot groups from Greenwich Photoheliographic Results (GPR) during the period 1874-1976 and Debrecen Photoheliographic Data (DPD) during 1977-2017 and determined the monthly mean, annual mean, and 13-month…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-07 J. Javaraiah

The correlation between geomagnetic activity and the sunspot number in the 11-year solar cycle exhibits long-term variations due to the varying time lag between the sunspot-related and non-sunspot related geomagnetic activity, and the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Katya Georgieva , Boian Kirov

We consider the statistical relationship between the growth rate of activity in the early phase of a solar cycle with its subsequent amplitude on the basis of four datasets of global activity indices (Wolf sunspot number, group sunspot…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-06-18 R. Cameron M. Schüssler

We improve the description of the evolution of the Sun's open and total magnetic flux on time scales of years to millenia. In the model employed here the evolution of the solar total and open magnetic flux is computed from the flux emerging…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-24 L. E. A. Vieira , S. Solanki

Recently discovered long-term oscillations of the solar background magnetic field associated with double dynamo waves generated in inner and outer layers of the Sun indicate that the solar activity is heading in the next three decades…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-13 V. V. Zharkova , S. J. Shepherd , E. Popova

The current cycle minimum appears to be deeper and broader than recent cycle minima, and this minimum appears similar to the minima in the early 1900s. With the best-ever solar irradiance measurements from several different satellite…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-03-25 Thomas N. Woods

We study the sunspot activity in relation to spotless days (SLDs) during the descending phase of solar cycle $11$--$24$ to predict the amplitude of sunspot cycle $25$. For this purpose, in addition to SLD, we also use the geomagnetic…

We argue that a variety of solar data suggest that the activity-cycle timescale variability of the total irradiance, is produced by structural adjustments of the solar interior. Assuming these adjustments are induced by variations of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 L. H. Li , S. Sofia

The Sun exhibits a well-observed modulation in the number of spots on its disk over a period of about 11 years. From the dawn of modern observational astronomy sunspots have presented a challenge to understanding -- their quasi-periodic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-09 Scott W. McIntosh , Sandra C. Chapman , Robert J. Leamon , Ricky Egeland , Nicholas W. Watkins

The data of sunspot numbers, sunspot areas and solar flare index during cycle 23 are analyzed to investigate the intermediate-term periodicities. Power spectral analysis has been performed separately for the data of the whole disk, northern…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-16 Bhuwan Joshi , P. Pant , P. K. Manoharan

Through meticulous daily observation of the Sun's large-scale magnetic field the Wilcox Solar Observatory (WSO) has catalogued two magnetic (Hale) cycles of solar activity. Those two (~22-year long) Hale cycles have yielded four…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-15 Scott W. McIntosh , Phillip H. Scherrer , Leif Svalgaard , Robert J. Leamon

Solar activity in all its varied manifestations is driven by the magnetic field. Particularly important for many purposes are two global quantities, the Sun's total and open magnetic flux, which can be computed from sunspot number records…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-09 N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki , B. Hofer , C. -J. Wu , I. G. Usoskin , R. Cameron

The long term study of the Sun is necessary if we are to determine the evolution of sunspot properties and thereby inform modeling of the solar dynamo, particularly on scales of a solar cycle. We aim to determine a number of sunspot…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-08-23 Fraser T. Watson , Lyndsay Fletcher , Stephen Marshall