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When an infectious disease propagates throughout society, the incidence function may rise at first due to an increase in pathogenicity and then decrease due to inhibitory effects until it reaches saturation. Effective vaccination and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Sushil Pathak , G. Shirisha , K. Venkata Ratnam

This study presents a seasonally forced cholera model that incorporates imperfect vaccination as a control strategy. The model captures the temporal dynamics of susceptible, vaccinated, infected, and recovered individuals, as well as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-15 Eric Herrison Gyamfi

Effective strategies of vaccine prioritization are essential to mitigate the impacts of severe infectious diseases. We investigate the role of infection fatality ratio (IFR) and social contact matrices on vaccination prioritization using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-04 Arthur Schulenburg , Wesley Cota , Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

In this paper we aim to study an optimal insurance premium level for health-care in a deterministic and stochastic SIR models with migration fluxes and vaccination of population. The studied model considers two standard SIR centres…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-14 Aleksandr A. Shemendyuk , Alexey A. Chernov , Mark Y Kelbert

We study the spread of an SIRS-type epidemic with vaccination on network. Starting from an exact Markov description of the model, we investigate the mean epidemic lifetime by providing a sufficient condition for fast extinction that depends…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Stefania Ottaviano , Stefano Bonaccorsi

We study how the herd immunity threshold and the expected epidemic size depend on homophily with respect to vaccine adoption. We find that the presence of homophily considerably increases the critical vaccine coverage needed for herd…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-03 Takayuki Hiraoka , Abbas K. Rizi , Mikko Kivelä , Jari Saramäki

In this work we study the stability properties of the equilibrium points of deterministic epidemic models with nonconstant population size. Models with nonconstant population have been studied in the past only in particular cases, two of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Florin Avram , Rim Adenane , Lasko Basnarkov , Gianluca Bianchin , Dan Goreac , Andrei Halanay

Voluntary vaccination is essential to protect oneself from infection and suppress the spread of infectious diseases. Voluntary vaccination behavior is influenced by factors such as age and interaction patterns. Differences in health…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-11 Yanyi Nie , Tao Lin , Yanbing Liu , Wei Wang

In this work we consider a model of epidemic spreading coupled with an opinion dynamics in a fully-connected population. Regarding the opinion dynamics, the individuals may be in two distinct states, namely in favor or against a vaccination…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-28 Marcelo A. Pires , Nuno Crokidakis

In this study, we explore the dynamic interplay between the timing of vaccination campaigns and the trajectory of disease spread in a population. Through comprehensive data analysis and modeling, we have uncovered a counter-intuitive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-06 Piergiorgio Castioni , Sergio Gòmez , Clara Granell , Alex Arenas

SIRS models capture transmission dynamics of infectious diseases for which immunity is not lifelong. Extending these models by a W compartment for individuals with waning immunity, the boosting of the immune system upon repeated exposure…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 Richmond Opoku-Sarkodie , Ferenc A. Bartha , Mónika Polner , Gergely Röst

We propose a model describing the synergetic feedback between word-of-mouth (WoM) and epidemic dynamics controlled by voluntary vaccination. We combine a game-theoretic model for the spread of WoM and a compartmental model describing $SIR$…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-03 Samit Bhattacharyya , Chris Bauch , Romulus Breban

This research paper introduces an SQIR-V epidemic model to investigate the transmission of infectious diseases. Particular attention is paid to the roles of vaccination and quarantine (incorporating physical distancing interventions) in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Mehdi Bouziane , Silia Bercisse , Abdennasser Chekroun , Simon Girel

The contact structure of a population plays an important role in transmission of infection. Many ``structured models'' capture aspects of the contact structure through an underlying network or a mixing matrix. An important observation in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Francesco Di Lauro , Luc Berthouze , Matthew D. Dorey , Joel C. Miller , István Z. Kiss

There are often multiple diseases with cross immunity competing for vaccination resources. Here we investigate the optimal vaccination program in a two-layer Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, where two diseases with cross immunity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-26 Yang Ye , Qingpeng Zhang , Zhidong Cao , Daniel Dajun Zeng

We continue the investigations of an ecosystem where a epidemic-affected population can move between two connected patches, by considering what happens to the system when the migration paths are interrupted in one direction, or when the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-03-19 Veronica Aimar , Sara Borlengo , Silvia Motto , Ezio Venturino

Network-based epidemic models have been extensively employed to understand the spread of infectious diseases, but have generally overlooked the fact that most realistic networks are dynamical rather than static. In this paper, we study a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Ze-Qiong Zhang , Junyuan Yang , Zhen Jin

Given limited supply of approved vaccines and constrained medical resources, design of a vaccination strategy to control a pandemic is an economic problem. We use time-series and panel methods with real-world country-level data to estimate…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-19 Dongwoo Kim , Young Jun Lee

To mitigate the pandemic stemming from COVID-19, numerous nations have initiated extensive vaccination campaigns for their citizens since late 2020. While affluent countries have predominantly received vaccine allocations, fewer doses have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-01 Hsin-Ju Chou , Jing-Yuan Ko , Sung-Po Chao

Vaccination is crucial for the control of epidemics. Yet it is a social dilemma since non-vaccinators can benefit from the herd immunity created by the vaccinators. Thus the optimum vaccination level is not reached via voluntary vaccination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-06 Yuting Wei , Yaosen Lin , Bin Wu
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