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Related papers: Constructing Sublinear Expectations on Path Space

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Linear structural equation models postulate noisy linear relationships between variables of interest. Each model corresponds to a path diagram, which is a mixed graph with directed edges that encode the domains of the linear functions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Mathias Drton , Christopher Fox , Andreas Käufl , Guillaume Pouliot

The complete convergence for weighted sums of sequences of independent, identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectations space was studied. By moment inequality and truncation methods, we establish the equivalent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Mingzhou Xu , Kun Cheng

We propose a simple, geometrically-motivated construction of smooth random paths in the plane. The construction is such that, with probability one, the paths have finite curvature everywhere (and the realizations are visually pleasing when…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Clément Berenfeld , Ery Arias-Castro

We propose a sequential topology on the space of sub-$\sigma$-algebras of a separable probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$ by linking conditional expectations on $L^{2}$ along sequences of sub-$\sigma$-algebras. The varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Patrick Beissner , Jonas M. Tölle

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

Effective understanding of the environment and accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding dynamic obstacles are critical for intelligent systems such as autonomous vehicles and wheeled mobile robotics navigating in complex scenarios to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Masayoshi Tomizuka

We give a new simple construction of the sandpile measure on an infinite graph G, under the sole assumption that each tree in the Wired Uniform Spanning Forest on G has one end almost surely. For, the so called, generalized minimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Antal A. Jarai , Nicolas Werning

We consider a sequence of i.i.d. random variables $\{\xi_k\}$under a sublinear expectation $\mathbb{E}=\sup_{P\in\Theta}E_P$. We first give a new proof to the fact that, under each $P\in\Theta$, any cluster point of the empirical averages…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Yongsheng Song

We use here a recent idea of studying functions of free random variables using Boolean cumulants. We develop idea of explicit calculations of conditional expectation using Boolean cumulants. We demonstrate Boolean cumulants approach allows…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2020-09-24 Kamil Szpojankowski , Jacek Wesołowski

In this paper, starting from a generalized coherent (i.e. avoiding uniform loss) intervalvalued probability assessment on a finite family of conditional events, we construct conditional probabilities with quasi additive classes of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Giuseppe Sanfilippo

Let $\{X_n;n\ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables in a regular sub-linear expectation space $(\Omega,\mathscr{H},\widehat{\mathbb E})$ with the finite Choquet expectation, upper mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Li-Xin Zhang

Estimating the parameters of a probabilistic directed graphical model from incomplete data is a long-standing challenge. This is because, in the presence of latent variables, both the likelihood function and posterior distribution are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Vy Vo , Trung Le , Tung-Long Vuong , He Zhao , Edwin Bonilla , Dinh Phung

We introduce a representation learning framework for spatial trajectories. We represent partial observations of trajectories as probability distributions in a learned latent space, which characterize the uncertainty about unobserved parts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Dídac Surís , Carl Vondrick

Given samples from two joint distributions, we consider the problem of Optimal Transportation (OT) between them when conditioned on a common variable. We focus on the general setting where the conditioned variable may be continuous, and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Piyushi Manupriya , Rachit Keerti Das , Sayantan Biswas , Saketha Nath Jagarlapudi

We give a very simple and elementary proof of the existence of a weakly compact family of probability measures $\{P_{\theta}:\theta \in \Theta \}$ to represent an important sublinear expectation--G-expectation $\mathbb{E}[\cdot]$. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-30 Mingshang Hu , Shige Peng

Road construction projects maintain transportation infrastructures. These projects range from the short-term (e.g., resurfacing or fixing potholes) to the long-term (e.g., adding a shoulder or building a bridge). Deciding what the next…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Amin Karimi Monsefi , Sobhan Moosavi , Rajiv Ramnath

The main object of investigation in this paper is a very general regression model in optional setting - when an observed process is an optional semimartingale depending on an unknown parameter. It is well-known that statistical data may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Mohamed Abdelghani , Alexander Melnikov , Andrey Pak

In this paper, we address the problem of bounding conditional expectations when moment information of the underlying distribution and the random event conditioned upon are given. To this end, we propose an adapted version of the generalized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Wouter J. E. C. van Eekelen

We present a sample path dependent measure of causal influence between two time series. The proposed measure is a random variable whose expected sum is the directed information. A realization of the proposed measure may be used to identify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-15 Gabriel Schamberg , Todd P. Coleman

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi