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This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang

We study decision timing problems on finite horizon with Poissonian information arrivals. In our model, a decision maker wishes to optimally time her action in order to maximize her expected reward. The reward depends on an unobservable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Michael Ludkovski , Semih Sezer

We develop a model for the dynamic evolution of default-free and defaultable interest rates in a LIBOR framework. Utilizing the class of affine processes, this model produces positive LIBOR rates and spreads, while the dynamics are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-15 Zorana Grbac , Antonis Papapantoleon

In this paper, a condition-based imperfect maintenance model based on piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) is constructed. The degradation of the system includes two types: natural degradation and random shocks. The natural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-25 Weikai Wang , Xian Chen

We consider a continuous-time financial market with no arbitrage and no transactions costs. In this setting, we introduce two types of perpetual contracts, one in which the payoff to the long side is a fixed function of the underlyers and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-08 Guillermo Angeris , Tarun Chitra , Alex Evans , Matthew Lorig

In this paper we propose a copula contagion mixture model for correlated default times. The model includes the well known factor, copula, and contagion models as its special cases. The key advantage of such a model is that we can study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-21 Harry Zheng

We show that, for the purpose of pricing Swaptions, the Swap rate and the corresponding Forward rates can be considered lognormal under a single martingale measure. Swaptions can then be priced as options on a basket of lognormal assets and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Alexandre d'Aspremont

Model risk measures consequences of choosing a model in a class of possible alternatives. We find analytical and simulated bounds for payoff functions on classes of plausible alternatives of a given discrete model. We measure the impact of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

We study non-linear Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) driven by a Brownian motion and p default martingales. The driver of the BSDE with multiple default jumps can take a generalized form involving an optional finite…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Miryana Grigorova , James Wheeldon

We study the problem of estimating a functional or a parameter in the context where outcome is subject to nonignorable missingness. We completely avoid modeling the regression relation, while allowing the propensity to be modeled by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Samidha Shetty , Yanyuan Ma , Jiwei Zhao

We undertake a study of markets from the perspective of a financial agent with limited access to information. The set of wealth processes available to the agent is structured with reasonable economic properties, instead of the usual…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-12 Constantinos Kardaras

We study a continuous-time financial market with continuous price processes under model uncertainty, modeled via a family $\mathcal{P}$ of possible physical measures. A robust notion ${\rm NA}_{1}(\mathcal{P})$ of no-arbitrage of the first…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-21 Sara Biagini , Bruno Bouchard , Constantinos Kardaras , Marcel Nutz

We derive integral tests for the existence and absence of arbitrage in a financial market with one risky asset which is either modeled as stochastic exponential of an Ito process or a positive diffusion with Markov switching. In particular,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-13 David Criens

We formalize the problem of maximizing the mean-payoff value with high probability while satisfying a parity objective in a Markov decision process (MDP) with unknown probabilistic transition function and unknown reward function. Assuming…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-08-24 Jan Křetínský , Guillermo A. Pérez , Jean-François Raskin

This paper includes a proof of well-posedness of an initial-boundary value problem involving a system of degenerate non-local parabolic PDE which naturally arises in the study of derivative pricing in a generalized market model. In a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Anindya Goswami , Jeeten Patel , Poorva Shevgaonkar

In this paper, we consider the robust optimal reinsurance investment problem of the insurer under the $\alpha$-maxmin mean-variance criterion in the defaultable market. The financial market consists of risk-free bonds, a stock and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-09 Min Zhang , Yong He

In applications of predictive modeling, such as insurance pricing, indirect or proxy discrimination is an issue of major concern. Namely, there exists the possibility that protected policyholder characteristics are implicitly inferred from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Mathias Lindholm , Ronald Richman , Andreas Tsanakas , Mario V. Wüthrich

The present article provides a novel theoretical way to evaluate tradeability in markets of ordinary exponential L\'evy type. We consider non-tradeability as a particular type of market illiquidity and investigate its impact on the price of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-25 Ludovic Mathys

We consider a Markov decision process subject to model uncertainty in a Bayesian framework, where we assume that the state process is observed but its law is unknown to the observer. In addition, while the state process and the controls are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Andrzej Ruszczyński

We extend the valuation of contingent claims in presence of default, collateral and funding to a random functional setting and characterise pre-default value processes by martingales. Pre-default value semimartingales can also be described…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Damiano Brigo , Federico Graceffa , Alexander Kalinin
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