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The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

Robust estimators of location and dispersion are often used in the elliptical model to obtain an uncontaminated and highly representative subsample by trimming the data outside an ellipsoid based in the associated Mahalanobis distance. Here…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Juan A. Cuesta-Albertos , Carlos Matrán , Agustín Mayo-Iscar

Physics-based covariance models provide a systematic way to construct covariance models that are consistent with the underlying physical laws in Gaussian process analysis. The unknown parameters in the covariance models can be estimated…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-20 Yian Chen , Mihai Anitescu

Mixtures of shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions were introduced as a tool for model-based clustering that allowed for the direct parameterization of skewness in addition to location and scale. Following common practices, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-28 Yuan Fang , Brian C. Franczak , Sanjeena Subedi

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) in which the transition probabilities and rewards belong to an uncertainty set parametrized by a collection of random variables. The probability distributions for these random parameters are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

Max-stable processes are a common choice for modelling spatial extreme data as they arise naturally as the infinite-dimensional generalisation of multivariate extreme value theory. Statistical inference for such models is complicated by the…

Stochastic programming models can lead to very large-scale optimization problems for which it may be impossible to enumerate all possible scenarios. In such cases, one adopts a sampling-based solution methodology in which case the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Shuotao Diao , Suvrajeet Sen

Our work introduces an approach for estimating the contribution of attachment mechanisms to the formation of growing networks. We present a generic model in which growth is driven by the continuous attachment of new nodes according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Jan Medina , Jorge Finke , Camilo Rocha

Maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation, like all Bayesian methods, depends on prior assumptions. These assumptions are often chosen to promote specific features in the recovered estimate. The form of the chosen prior determines the shape of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Zilai Si , Yucong Liu , Alexander Strang

Environmental data science for spatial extremes has traditionally relied heavily on max-stable processes. Even though the popularity of these models has perhaps peaked with statisticians, they are still perceived and considered as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental optimization problem in statistics. We study this problem on manifolds of matrices with bounded rank. These represent mixtures of distributions of two independent discrete random variables. We…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Jonathan Hauenstein , Jose Rodriguez , Bernd Sturmfels

Statistical modelling of spatial extreme events has gained increasing attention over the last few decades with max-stable processes, and more recently $r$-Pareto processes, becoming the reference tools for the statistical analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Peng Zhong , Scott A. Sisson , Boris Beranger

Max-stable processes have been expanded to quantify extremal dependence in spatio-temporal data. Due to the interaction between space and time, spatio-temporal data are often complex to analyze. So, characterizing these dependencies is one…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Abdul-Fattah Abu-Awwad , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

An exceedance region is the set of locations in a spatial domain where a process exceeds some threshold. Examples of exceedance regions include areas where ozone concentrations exceed safety standards, there is high risk for tornadoes or…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Joshua P. French , Stephan R. Sain

Classical extreme value statistics consists of two fundamental approaches: the block maxima (BM) method and the peak-over-threshold (POT) approach. It seems to be general consensus among researchers in the field that the POT method makes…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Axel Bücher , Chen Zhou

In this work, we develop a constructive modeling framework for extreme threshold exceedances in repeated observations of spatial fields, based on general product mixtures of random fields possessing light or heavy-tailed margins and various…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-20 Rishikesh Yadav , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

Missing data occur in a variety of applications of extreme value analysis. In the block maxima approach to an extreme value analysis, missingness is often handled by either ignoring missing observations or dropping a block of observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 James H. McVittie , Orla A. Murphy

We propose a modification of a maximum likelihood procedure for tuning parameter values in models, based upon the comparison of their output to field data. Our methodology, which uses polynomial approximations of the sample space to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-07-03 Nusret Balci , Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence optimization for discrete or continuous parametric models. This approach is based on a new dual representation for divergences. We treat point estimation and tests for simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou
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