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This paper describes a Bayesian statistical method for determining the genetic basis of a complex genetic trait. The method uses a sample of unrelated individuals classified into two groups, for example cases and controls. Each group is…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2008-02-21 Toby Johnson

As the COVID-19 pandemic progresses, researchers are reporting findings of randomized trials comparing standard care with care augmented by experimental drugs. The trials have small sample sizes, so estimates of treatment effects are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-02 Charles F. Manski , Aleksey Tetenov

Small sample sizes in clinical studies arises from factors such as reduced costs, limited subject availability, and the rarity of studied conditions. This creates challenges for accurately calculating confidence intervals (CIs) using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Mulan Wu , Mengyu Xu , Dongyun Kim

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

Controlled experiments (A/B tests or randomized field experiments) are the de facto standard to make data-driven decisions when implementing changes and observing customer responses. The methodology to analyze such experiments should be…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Shafi Kamalbasha , Manuel J. A. Eugster

The goal of causal inference is to understand the outcome of alternative courses of action. However, all causal inference requires assumptions. Such assumptions can be more influential than in typical tasks for probabilistic modeling, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Dustin Tran , Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Susan Athey , David M. Blei

Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 P. C. Álvarez-Esteban , E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matrán

Basket trials examine the efficacy of an intervention in multiple patient subgroups simultaneously. The division into subgroups, called baskets, is based on matching medical characteristics, which may result in small sample sizes within…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Sabrina Schmitt , Lukas Baumann

Identification of optimal dose combinations in early phase dose-finding trials is challenging, due to the trade-off between precisely estimating the many parameters required to flexibly model the possibly non-monotonic dose-response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , Bruno Boulanger , Bradley P. Carlin

Hypothesis testing and model choice are quintessential questions for statistical inference and while the Bayesian paradigm seems ideally suited for answering these questions, it faces difficulties of its own ranging from prior modelling to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-15 Christian P Robert

According to Hansen, Madow and Tepping [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 78 (1983) 776--793], "Probability sampling designs and randomization inference are widely accepted as the standard approach in sample surveys." In this article, reasons are…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-12 J. N. K. Rao

Experimental comparisons of performance represent an important aspect of research on optimization algorithms. In this work we present a methodology for defining the required sample sizes for designing experiments with desired statistical…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Felipe Campelo , Fernanda Takahashi

The use and development of mobile interventions are experiencing rapid growth. In "just-in-time" mobile interventions, treatments are provided via a mobile device and they are intended to help an individual make healthy decisions "in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Peng Liao , Predrag Klasnja , Ambuj Tewari , Susan A. Murphy

Practical employment of Bayesian trial designs is still rare. Even if accepted in principle, the regulators have commonly required that such designs be calibrated according to an upper bound for the frequentist type I error rate. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

Testing hypotheses is an issue of primary importance in the scientific research, as well as in many other human activities. Much clarification about it can be achieved if the process of learning from data is framed in a stochastic model of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

Identifying leading measurement units from a large collection is a common inference task in various domains of large-scale inference. Testing approaches, which measure evidence against a null hypothesis rather than effect magnitude, tend to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Nicholas C. Henderson , Michael A. Newton

This paper is concerned with sample size determination methodology for prediction models. We propose combining the individual calculations via a learning-type curve. We suggest two distinct ways of doing so, a deterministic skeleton of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Alimu Dayimu , Nikola Simidjievski , Nikolaos Demiris , Jean Abraham

We consider the problem of variable selection in linear models when $p$, the number of potential regressors, may exceed (and perhaps substantially) the sample size $n$ (which is possibly small).

Large-scale randomized experiments, sometimes called A/B tests, are increasingly prevalent in many industries. Though such experiments are often analyzed via frequentist $t$-tests, arguably such analyses are deficient: $p$-values are hard…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-27 F. Richard Guo , James McQueen , Thomas S. Richardson

Randomized controlled experiments assess new policy impacts on performance metrics to inform launch decisions. Traditional approaches evaluate metrics independently despite correlations, and mixed results (e.g., positive revenue impact,…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-29 Hoiyi Ng , Guido Imbens
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