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We study the properties of several likelihood-based statistics commonly used in testing for the presence of a known signal under a mixture model with known background, but unknown signal fraction. Under the null hypothesis of no signal, all…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-26 Igor Volobouev , A. Alexandre Trindade

This paper concerns the asymptotic behavior of a random variable $W_\lambda$ resulting from the summation of the functionals of a Gibbsian spatial point process over windows $Q_\lambda \uparrow R^d$. We establish conditions ensuring that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Aihua Xia , J. E. Yukich

This paper addresses stochastic optimization of Lipschitz-continuous, nonsmooth and nonconvex objectives over compact convex sets, where only noisy function evaluations are available. While gradient-free methods have been developed for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Anik Kumar Paul , Shalabh Bhatnagar

In this paper, we establish Berry-Esseen-type bounds for federated linear stochastic approximation (LSA). Our results provide the first federated Gaussian approximations for LSA that explicitly capture communication-computation trade-offs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Ilya Levin , Maksim Shuklin , Eric Moulines , Paul Mangold , Sergey Samsonov

Empirical fixation densities, spatial distributions estimated from human eye-tracking data, are foundational to saliency benchmarking. They directly shape benchmark conclusions, leaderboard rankings, failure case analyses, and scientific…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Susmit Agrawal , Jannis Hollman , Matthias Kümmerer

This paper focuses on inhomogeneous quadratic tests, which involve the sum of a dependent non-central chi-square with a Gaussian random variable. Unfortunately, no closed-form expression is available for the statistical distribution of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Daniel Egea-Roca , Gonzalo Seco-Granados , José A. López-Salcedo

A sum of observations derived by a simple random sampling design from a population of independent random variables is studied. A procedure finding a general term of Edgeworth asymptotic expansion is presented. The Lindeberg condition of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Ibrahim Bin Mohamed , Sherzod M. Mirakhmedov

We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Peter Hall , Tung Pham , M. P. Wand , S. S. J. Wang

Edgeworth expansions of first and second order are established for general linear rank statistics under the null hypothesis with asymptotically ''sufficiently'' small remainder terms. The methods used are the Stein method combined with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Walter Schneller

Motivated by small bandwidth asymptotics for kernel-based semiparametric estimators in econometrics, this paper establishes Gaussian approximation results for high-dimensional fixed-order $U$-statistics whose kernels depend on the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Shunsuke Imai , Yuta Koike

The maximum score estimator of Manski (1975) provides an elegant approach to estimate slope coefficient in binary choice models without requiring parametric assumptions on the error distribution. However, under i.i.d. sampling, it admits a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Harold D. Chiang , Ahnaf Rafi

We present a novel technique for amortized posterior estimation using Normalizing Flows trained with likelihood-weighted importance sampling. This approach allows for the efficient inference of theoretical parameters in high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Rajneil Baruah

We present a systematic short time expansion for the generating function of the one point height probability distribution for the KPZ equation with droplet initial condition, which goes much beyond previous studies. The expansion is checked…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-21 Alexandre Krajenbrink , Pierre Le Doussal , Sylvain Prolhac

We give a polynomial-time algorithm to sample from the Gibbs measure of the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model with negligible total-variation distance (TVD) error up to inverse temperature $\beta < 1/2$. Prior work obtained TVD error guarantees…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Ewan Davies , Holden Lee , Juspreet Singh Sandhu , Jonathan Shi

Federated Learning has gained traction in privacy-sensitive collaborative environments, with local SGD emerging as a key optimization method in decentralized settings. While its convergence properties are well-studied, asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

In recent years post-Newtonian approximations for isolated slowly-moving systems in general relativity have been studied by means of matched asymptotic expansions. A paper by Poujade & Blanchet in 2002 made great progress by effectively…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-11-26 W. G. Dixon

For a partial structural change in a linear regression model with a single break, we develop a continuous record asymptotic framework to build inference methods for the break date. We have T observations with a sampling frequency h over a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

We study asymptotic anytime-valid confidence sequences for degree-two U-statistics under continuous monitoring. In the nondegenerate case, Hoeffding's projection reduces the problem to a time-uniform central limit theory for the partial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu , Weijia Li

We study the Cauchy problem for a nonlinear damped wave equation. Under suitable assumptions for the nonlinearity and the initial data, we obtain the global solution which satisfies weighted $L^1$ and $L^\infty$ estimates. Furthermore, we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Tatsuki Kawakami , Hiroshi Takeda

Violation of the assumptions underlying classical (Gaussian) limit theory often yields unreliable statistical inference. This paper shows that the bootstrap can detect such violations by delivering simple and powerful diagnostic tests that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Luca Fanelli , Iliyan Georgiev