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The paper proposes a new approach to model risk measurement based on the Wasserstein distance between two probability measures. It formulates the theoretical motivation resulting from the interpretation of fictitious adversary of robust…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-05 Yu Feng , Erik Schlögl

Randomized smoothing has become a leading approach for certifying adversarial robustness in machine learning models. However, a persistent gap remains between theoretical certified robustness and empirical robustness accuracy. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Blaise Delattre , Paul Caillon , Quentin Barthélemy , Erwan Fagnou , Alexandre Allauzen

In this paper we focus on the estimation of mutual information from finite samples $(\mathcal{X}\times\mathcal{Y})$. The main concern with estimations of mutual information is their robustness under the class of transformations for which it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-04 Nicholas Carrara , Jesse Ernst

This paper is concerned with objective value performance of the scenario approach for robust convex optimization. A novel method is proposed to derive probabilistic bounds for the objective value from scenario programs with a finite number…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Zheming Wang , Raphaël M. Jungers

In this note we consider a system of financial institutions and study systemic risk measures in the presence of a financial market and in a robust setting, namely, where no reference probability is assigned. We obtain a dual representation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-19 Matteo Burzoni , Marco Frittelli , Federico Zorzi

A risk analyst assesses potential financial losses based on multiple sources of information. Often, the assessment does not only depend on the specification of the loss random variable but also various economic scenarios. Motivated by this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-02 Tolulope Fadina , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

We address imbalanced classification, the problem in which a label may have low marginal probability relative to other labels, by weighting losses according to the correct class. First, we examine the convergence rates of the expected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-28 Ziyu Xu , Chen Dan , Justin Khim , Pradeep Ravikumar

Measuring and managing risk has become crucial in modern decision making under stochastic uncertainty. In two-stage stochastic programming, mean risk models are essentially defined by a parametric recourse problem and a quantification of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Matthias Claus , Volker Krätschmer , Rüdiger Schultz

This paper compares two different frameworks recently introduced in the literature for measuring risk in a multi-period setting. The first corresponds to applying a single coherent risk measure to the cumulative future costs, while the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dan A. Iancu , Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian

We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Liusha Yang , Romain Couillet , Matthew R. McKay

Robust estimators and Wald-type tests are developed for the multinomial logistic regression based on $\phi$-divergence measures. The robustness of the proposed estimators and tests is proved through the study of their influence functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Elena Castilla , Pedro J. Chocano

We present a new, scalable alternative to the structured singular value, which we call $\nu$, provide a convex upper bound, study their properties and compare them to $\ell_1$ robust control. The analysis relies on a novel result on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-13 Olle Kjellqvist , John C. Doyle

This paper proposes a new robust smooth-threshold estimating equation to select important variables and automatically estimate parameters for high dimensional longitudinal data. A novel working correlation matrix is proposed to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Liya Fu , Jiaqi Li , You-Gan Wang

We suggest generalized robustness for quantifying nonlocality and derive its equivalence to the maximum violation ratio of Bell inequalities defined as vectors with non-negative elements. We investigate its properties by comparing it with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-29 Kyunghyun Baek , Junghee Ryu , Jinhyoung Lee

For discrete-time survival data, conditional likelihood inference in Cox's hazard odds model is theoretically desirable but exact calculation is numerical intractable with a moderate to large number of tied events. Unconditional maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Zhiqiang Tan

We propose a novel class of convex risk measures, based on the concept of the Fr\'echet mean, designed in order to handle uncertainty which arises from multiple information sources regarding the risk factors of interest. The proposed risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

We consider Wald type statistics designed for joint predictability and structural break testing based on the instrumentation method of Phillips and Magdalinos (2009). We show that under the assumption of nonstationary predictors: (i) the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-31 Christis Katsouris

This study develops a framework for testing hypotheses on structural parameters in incomplete models. Such models make set-valued predictions and hence do not generally yield a unique likelihood function. The model structure, however,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-03 Hiroaki Kaido , Yi Zhang

We generalize various notions of stability of invariant sets of dynamical systems to invariant measures, by defining a topology on the set of measures. The defined topology is similar, but not topologically equivalent to weak* topology, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-04 Sinisa Slijepcevic
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