Related papers: Estimating the Upcrossings Index

The occurrence of extreme events like heavy precipitation or storms at a certain location often shows a clustering behaviour and is thus not described well by a Poisson process. We construct a general model for the inter-exceedance times in…

The extremal index $\theta$, a number in the interval $[0,1]$, is known to be a measure of primal importance for analyzing the extremes of a stationary time series. New rank-based estimators for $\theta$ are proposed which rely on the…

Feature selection procedures for spatial point processes parametric intensity estimation have been recently developed since more and more applications involve a large number of covariates. In this paper, we investigate the setting where the…

We consider a piecewise-deterministic Markov process governed by a jump intensity function, a rate function that determines the behaviour between jumps, and a stochastic kernel describing the conditional distribution of jump sizes. We study…

For arrays $(S_{i,j})_{1\leq i\leq j}$ of random variables that are stationary in an appropriate sense, we show that the fluctuations of the process $(S_{1,n})_{n=1}^{\infty}$ can be bounded in terms of a measure of the ``mean…

We consider disjoint and sliding blocks estimators of cluster indices for multivariate, regularly varying time series in the Peak-over-Threshold framework. We aim to provide a complete description of the limiting behaviour of these…

We derive the limiting distributions of exceedances point processes of randomly scaled weakly dependent stationary Gaussian sequences under some mild asymptotic conditions. In the literature analogous results are available only for…

In counting experiments, one can set an upper limit on the rate of a Poisson process based on a count of the number of events observed due to the process. In some experiments, one makes several counts of the number of events, using…

The Poisson process is the most elementary continuous-time stochastic process that models a stream of repeating events. It is uniquely characterised by a single parameter called the rate. Instead of a single value for this rate, we here…

The problem of finding the expected value of a statistic of a locally stable point process in a bounded region is addressed. We propose an adaptive importance sampling for solving the problem. In our proposal, we restrict the importance…

This note aims at presenting several new theoretical results for the compound Poisson point process, which follows the work of Zhang \emph{et al.} [Insurance~Math.~Econom.~59(2014), 325-336]. The first part provides a new characterization…

When there is no independence, abnormal observations may have a tendency to appear in clusters instead of scattered along the time frame. Identifying clusters and estimating their size are important problems arising in statistics of…

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a Poisson arrival process where the rate function is assumed to lie in the span of a known basis. Our goal is to estimate the basis expansions coefficients given a…

The aim of this study is to extend the scope and applicability of the level-crossing method to discrete-time stochastic processes and generalize it to enable us to study multiple discrete-time stochastic processes. In previous versions of…

A class of improved estimators is proposed for N-point correlation functions of galaxy clustering, and for discrete spatial random processes in general. In the limit of weak clustering, the variance of the unbiased estimator converges to…

We prove the asymptotic normality of the standardized number of crossings of a centered stationary mixing Gaussian process when both the level and the time horizon go to infinity in such a way that the expected number of crossings also goes…

This paper studies the critical and near-critical regimes of the planar random-cluster model on $\mathbb Z^2$ with cluster-weight $q\in[1,4]$ using novel coupling techniques. More precisely, we derive the scaling relations between the…

In extreme value statistics for stationary sequences, blocks estimators are usually constructed by using disjoint blocks because exceedances over high thresholds of different blocks can be assumed asymptotically independent. In this paper…

Consider the max-stable process $\eta(t) = \max_{i\in\mathbb N} U_i \rm{e}^{\langle X_i, t\rangle - \kappa(t)}$, $t\in\mathbb{R}^d$, where $\{U_i, i\in\mathbb{N}\}$ are points of the Poisson process with intensity $u^{-2}\rm{d} u$ on…