Related papers: Estimating the Upcrossings Index
Intensity estimation for Poisson processes is a classical problem and has been extensively studied over the past few decades. Practical observations, however, often contain compositional noise, i.e. a nonlinear shift along the time axis,…
Observing a load process above high thresholds, modeling it as a pulse process with random occurrence times and magnitudes, and extrapolating life-time maximum or design loads from the data is a common task in structural reliability…
A univariate clustering criterion for stationary processes satisfying a $\beta$-mixing condition is proposed extending the work of \cite{KB2} to the dependent setup. The approach is characterized by an alternative sample criterion function…
Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process with intensity measure $t\mu$, $t>0$, over a Borel space $\mathbb{X}$, where $\mu$ is a fixed measure. Another point process $\xi_t$ on the real line is constructed by applying a symmetric function…
It is well known that the distribution of extreme values of strictly stationary sequences differ from those of independent and identically distributed sequences in that extremal clustering may occur. Here we consider non-stationary but…
Let $\{\xi(k), k \in \mathbb{Z} \}$ be a stationary sequence of random variables and let $\{S_n, n \in \mathbb{N}_+ \}$ be a transient random walk in the domain of attraction of a stable law. In the previous work \cite{Nicolas_Ahmad}, under…
An ensemble of uncoupled limit-cycle oscillators receiving common Poisson impulses shows a range of non-trivial behavior, from synchronization, desynchronization, to clustering. The group behavior that arises in the ensemble can be…
The risk of catastrophes is related to the possibility of occurring extreme values. Several statistical methodologies have been developed in order to evaluate the propensity of a process for the occurrence of high values and the permanence…
We re-consider Leadbetter's extremal index for stationary sequences. It has interpretation as reciprocal of the expected size of an extremal cluster above high thresholds. We focus on heavy-tailed time series, in particular on regularly…
In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the point process of exceedances in a spatio-temporal setting whose points are given by the rescaled occurrence times, the sites and the rescaled values of exceedances. Here, the…
Suppose we observe a trajectory of length $n$ from an exponentially $\alpha$-mixing stochastic process over a finite but potentially large state space. We consider the problem of estimating the probability mass placed by the stationary…
We prove that the distributional limit of the normalised number of returns to small neighbourhoods of periodic points of non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems is compound Poisson. The returns to small balls around a fixed point in the…
We consider an integer-valued time series $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in\Z}$ where the models after a time $k^*$ is Poisson autoregressive with the conditional mean that depends on a parameter $\theta^*\in\Theta\subset\R^d$. The structure of the process…
We study the counting of level crossings for inertial random processes exposed to stochastic resetting events. We develop the general approach of stochastic resetting for inertial processes with sudden changes in the state characterized by…
We give overcrowding estimates for the Sine_beta process, the bulk point process limit of the Gaussian beta-ensemble. We show that the probability of having at least n points in a fixed interval is given by $e^{-\frac{\beta}{2} n^2…
The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…
It is known that the number of points in the largest cluster of a percolating Poisson process restricted to a large finite box is asymptotically normal. In this note, we establish a rate of convergence for the statement. As each point in…
The stable-regenerative multiple-stable model has been shown recently to have distinct candidate extremal index and extremal index. To understand further this rare phenomenon, two more results are established here for the double-stable…
A well-known stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in physical systems is investigated. The model is given by a super-position of uncorrelated exponential pulses, and the degree of pulse overlap is interpreted as an intermittency…
The article determines the asymptotic shape of the extremal clusters in stationary regularly varying random fields. To deduce this result, we present a general framework for the Poisson approximation of point processes on Polish spaces…