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This paper expands on stochastic volatility models by proposing a data-driven method to select the macroeconomic events most likely to impact volatility. The paper identifies and quantifies the effects of macroeconomic events across…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Igor Martins , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

This paper presents static and dynamic versions of univariate, multivariate, and multilevel functional time-series methods to forecast implied volatility surfaces in foreign exchange markets. We find that dynamic functional principal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Han Lin Shang , Fearghal Kearney

In this paper we study the pricing of exchange options when underlying assets have stochastic volatility and stochastic correlation. An approximation using a closed-form approximation based on a Taylor expansion of the conditional price is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Enrique Villamor , Pablo Olivares

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This paper aims at solving FX market volatility modeling problem and finding the most becoming approach to this task. Validity of two competing approaches, classical econometric generalized conditional heteroscedasticity and mathematical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Anton Koshelev

In the over-the-counter market in derivatives, we sometimes see large numbers of traders taking the same position and risk. When there is this kind of concentration in the market, the position impacts the pricings of all other derivatives…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-05 Jun Maeda , Saul D. Jacka

Based on empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is proposed with volatility driven by fractional noise. The model is used to obtain a risk-neutrality option pricing formula and an option pricing equation.

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rui Vilela Mendes , Maria Joao Oliveira

We develop a non-parametric, semimartingale optimal transport, calibration methodology for local volatility models with stochastic interest rate. The method finds a fully calibrated model which is the closest, in a way that can be defined…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-08 Benjamin Joseph , Gregoire Loeper , Jan Obloj

We consider stochastic volatility models under parameter uncertainty and investigate how model derived prices of European options are affected. We let the pricing parameters evolve dynamically in time within a specified region, and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Martin Tegnér

We propose a novel and generic calibration technique for four-factor foreign-exchange hybrid local-stochastic volatility models with stochastic short rates. We build upon the particle method introduced by Guyon and Labord\`ere [Nonlinear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Andrei Cozma , Matthieu Mariapragassam , Christoph Reisinger

Managing exotic derivatives requires accurate mark-to-market pricing and stable Greeks for reliable hedging. The Local Volatility (LV) model distinguishes itself from other pricing models by its ability to match observable market prices…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-24 Ruozhong Yang , Hao Qin , Charlie Che , Liming Feng

The Heston stochastic volatility model is arguably, the most popular stochastic volatility model used to price and risk manage exotic derivatives. In spite of this, it is not necessarily easy to calibrate to the market and obtain stable…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-23 Jherek Healy

In this paper we present a new method to compute the first-order approximation of the price of derivatives on futures in the context of multiscale stochastic volatility of Fouque \textit{et al.} (2011, CUP). It provides an alternative…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Yuri F. Saporito , Jorge P. Zubelli

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

In this paper, a pricing formula for volatility swaps is delivered when the underlying asset follows the stochastic volatility model with jumps and stochastic intensity. By using Feynman-Kac theorem, a partial integral differential equation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-21 Ben-zhang Yang , Jia Yue , Ming-hui Wang , Nan-jing Huang

Using tools from spectral analysis, singular and regular perturbation theory, we develop a systematic method for analytically computing the approximate price of a derivative-asset. The payoff of the derivative-asset may be path-dependent.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-09 Matthew Lorig

There are many studies on development of models for analyzing some derivatives such as credit default swaps .

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-20 Zahra Sokoot , Navideh Modarresi , Farzaneh Niknejad

We present a multivariate stochastic volatility model with leverage, which is flexible enough to recapture the individual dynamics as well as the interdependencies between several assets while still being highly analytically tractable.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-23 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Oliver Pfaffel , Robert Stelzer

In a stochastic volatility framework, we find a general pricing equation for the class of payoffs depending on the terminal value of a market asset and its final quadratic variation. This allows a pricing tool for European-style claims…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-12 Lorenzo Torricelli