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The goal of this paper is to analyze distributional Markov Decision Processes as a class of control problems in which the objective is to learn policies that steer the distribution of a cumulative reward toward a prescribed target law,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Nicole Bäuerle , Athanasios Vasileiadis

In this paper, we investigate the potential of the age-dependent random connection model (ADRCM) with the aim of representing higher-order networks. A key contribution of our work are probabilistic limit results in large domains. More…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Christian Hirsch , Peter Juhasz

The imbalance (or long-tail) is the nature of many real-world data distributions, which often induces the undesirable bias of deep classification models toward frequent classes, resulting in poor performance for tail classes. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Fudong Lin , Xu Yuan

Continuous-time branching processes describe the evolution of a population whose individuals generate a random number of children according to a birth process. Such branching processes can be used to understand preferential attachment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Alessandro Garavaglia , Remco van der Hofstad , Gerhard Woeginger

The big jump principle is a well established mathematical result for sums of independent and identically distributed random variables extracted from a fat tailed distribution. It states that the tail of the distribution of the sum is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-10 Alessandro Vezzani , Eli Barkai , Raffaella Burioni

We demonstrate that distributions of human response times have power-law tails and, among closed-form distributions, are best fit by the generalized inverse gamma distribution. We speculate that the task difficulty tracks the half-width of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Tao Ma , John G. Holden , R. A. Serota

In this paper we give explicit examples of power-law correlated stationary Markovian processes y(t) where the stationary pdf shows tails which are gaussian or exponential. These processes are obtained by simply performing a coordinate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-12-08 Salvatore Miccichè

In a number of applications, particularly in financial and actuarial mathematics, it is of interest to characterize the tail distribution of a random variable $V$ satisfying the distributional equation $V\stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{=}f(V)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Guoqing Diao , Anand N. Vidyashankar

The paper focuses on a class of light-tailed multivariate probability distributions. These are obtained via a transformation of the margins from a heavy-tailed original distribution. This class was introduced in Balkema et al. (J.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Guus Balkema , Paul Embrechts , Natalia Nolde

In this paper, a novel approach to the problem of estimating the heavy-tail exponent alpha>0 of a distribution is proposed. It is based on the fact that block-maxima of size m of the independent and identically distributed data scale at a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Murad S. Taqqu

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

We characterize the tail behavior of the distribution of the PageRank of a uniformly chosen vertex in a directed preferential attachment graph and show that it decays as a power law with an explicit exponent that is described in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Sayan Banerjee , Mariana Olvera-Cravioto

We provide upper bounds on the end-to-end backlog and delay in a network with heavy-tailed and self-similar traffic. The analysis follows a network calculus approach where traffic is characterized by envelope functions and service is…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2013-12-30 Jorg Liebeherr , Almut Burchard , Florin Ciucu

We analyze states of stationary activity in randomly coupled quadratic integrate-and-fire neurons using stochastic mean-field theory. Specifically, we consider the two cases of Gaussian random coupling and Cauchy random coupling, which are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-05-13 Ralf Tönjes , Chunming Zheng , Wenping Cui , Benjamin Lindner

Many real-world prediction tasks have outcome variables that have characteristic heavy-tail distributions. Examples include copies of books sold, auction prices of art pieces, demand for commodities in warehouses, etc. By learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Xindi Wang , Onur Varol , Tina Eliassi-Rad

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

This article introduces a non-parametric information-theoretic approach to inference about the tail of a continuous or a discrete distribution. Leveraging a new concept named tail profile -- a set of information-theoretic quantities…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

In transport processes across materials like glasses, living cells, and porous media, the probability density function of displacements exhibits exponential decay rather than Gaussian behavior. We show that this universal behavior of rare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-31 R. K. Singh , Stanislav Burov

Beck et al. (2013) introduced a new distribution class J which contains many heavy-tailed and light-tailed distributions obeying the principle of a single big jump. Using a simple transformation which maps heavy-tailed distributions to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Hui Xu , Michael Scheutzow , Yuebao Wang

The mathematical model of a linear system with the short memory about own stochastic behavior is proposed. It is assumed that the system is under a continual influence of independent stochastic impulses. In a short memory approximation the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 D. N. Zhabin
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