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Consider a random permutation of $kn$ objects that permutes $n$ disjoint blocks of size $k$ and then permutes elements within each block. Normalizing its cycle lengths by $kn$ gives a random partition of unity, and we derive the limit law…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Nathan Tung

I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-01 Lawrence R. Thorne

The two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion takes values in the infinite ordered simplex and extends the celebrated infinitely-many-neutral-alleles model, having a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet stationary distribution. Here we identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Robert C. Griffiths , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò , Youzhou Zhou

In this paper, we introduce a new two-parameter lifetime distribution, called the exponential-generalized truncated logarithmic (EGTL) distribution, by compounding the exponential and generalized truncated logarithmic distributions. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Mohieddine Rahmouni , Ayman Orabi

The popular criteria of optimality for quickest change detection procedures are the Lorden criterion, the Shiryaev-Roberts-Pollak criterion, and the Bayesian criterion. In this paper a robust version of these quickest change detection…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Jayakrishnan Unnikrishnan , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Sean Meyn

The total number of fatalities of an epidemic outbreak is a dramatic but extremely informative quantity. Knowledge of the statistics of this quantity allows the calculation of the mean total number of fatalities conditioned to the fact that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-06 Alvaro Corral

We characterise the learning of a mixture of two clouds of data points with generic centroids via empirical risk minimisation in the high dimensional regime, under the assumptions of generic convex loss and convex regularisation. Each cloud…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Urte Adomaityte , Gabriele Sicuro , Pierpaolo Vivo

We investigate properties of the particle distribution near the tip of one-dimensional branching random walks at large times $t$, focusing on unusual realizations in which the rightmost lead particle is very far ahead of its expected…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-07 A. H. Mueller , S. Munier

In this paper, we will give a sufficient condition for a non-negative random variable $X$ to be heavy tailed by investigating the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the probability distribution function. We focus on the relation between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-02 Kenji Nakagawa

In this paper we propose a family of multivariate asymmetric distributions over an arbitrary subset of set of real numbers which is defined in terms of the well-known elliptically symmetric distributions. We explore essential properties,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-02 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Leonardo Santos , João Monteiros , Felipe Quintino

In this paper, a new mixed Poisson distribution is introduced. This new distribution is obtained by utilizing mixing process, with Poisson distribution as mixed distribution and Transmuted Exponential distribution as mixing distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-05 Deepesh Bhati , Pooja Kumawat , E. Gómez Déniz

Mixtures of Linear Regressions (MLR) is an important mixture model with many applications. In this model, each observation is generated from one of the several unknown linear regression components, where the identity of the generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Yuanzhi Li , Yingyu Liang

A point source on a plane constantly emits particles which rapidly diffuse and then stick to a growing cluster. The growth probability of a cluster is presented as a sum over all possible scenarios leading to the same final shape. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-28 Oleg Alekseev , Mark Mineev-Weinstein

This work proposes a parametric probabilistic approach to model damage accumulation using the double linear damage rule (DLDR) considering the existence of limited experimental fatigue data. A probabilistic version of DLDR is developed in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-11 João Paulo Dias , Stephen Ekwaro-Osire , Americo Cunha , Shweta Dabetwar , Abraham Nispel , Fisseha M. Alemayehu , Haileyesus B. Endeshaw

The Wright-Fisher diffusion is a fundamentally important model of evolution encompassing genetic drift, mutation, and natural selection. Suppose you want to infer the parameters associated with these processes from an observed sample path.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Paul A. Jenkins

The consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for mixtures of elliptically-symmetric distributions for estimating its population version is shown, where the underlying distribution $P$ is nonparametric and does not necessarily belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Pietro Coretto , Christian Hennig

We consider optimal decision-making problems in an uncertain environment. In particular, we consider the case in which the distribution of the input is unknown, yet there is abundant historical data drawn from the distribution. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-03 Zizhuo Wang , Peter Glynn , Yinyu Ye

In this paper, a novel approach to the problem of estimating the heavy-tail exponent alpha>0 of a distribution is proposed. It is based on the fact that block-maxima of size m of the independent and identically distributed data scale at a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Murad S. Taqqu

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Farzad Pourbabaee , Omid Shams Solari

Statistical modeling of multivariate and spatial extreme events has attracted broad attention in various areas of science. Max-stable distributions and processes are the natural class of models for this purpose, and many parametric families…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting
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