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This study proposes a statistically grounded framework for real-time win probability evaluation and player assessment in score-based team sports, based on minute-by-minute cumulative box-score data. We introduce a continuous dominance…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yasutaka Shimizu , Atsushi Yamanobe

With the aid of mathematical modelling (basic tool is the random walk with absorbing barriers) we derive subsequent formulas to study the effect of different versions of possible rules. For different rules the probability of winning a game,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-30 G. Szigeti

The characterization of the "most connected" nodes in static or slowly evolving complex networks has helped in understanding and predicting the behavior of social, biological, and technological networked systems, including their robustness…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-10-21 Scott A. Hill , Dan Braha

ELO rating system is proposed by Arpad Elo, a Hungarian-American physics professor. Originally, it was proposed for the ranking system of chess players, but it was soon adapted to many other zero-sum sports fields like football, baseball,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Yuhan Song

PageRank and the Bradley-Terry model are competing approaches to ranking entities such as teams in sports tournaments or journals in citation networks. The Bradley-Terry model is a classical statistical method for ranking based on paired…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 David Antony Selby

We study the game of go from a complex network perspective. We construct a directed network using a suitable definition of tactical moves including local patterns, and study this network for different datasets of professional tournaments…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-20 Bertrand Georgeot , Olivier Giraud

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser

The recently introduced concept of dynamic communicability is a valuable tool for ranking the importance of nodes in a temporal network. Two metrics, broadcast score and receive score, were introduced to measure the centrality of a node…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-29 Ewan Colman , Nathaniel Charlton

Understanding the dynamics of momentum and game fluctuation in tennis matches is cru-cial for predicting match outcomes and enhancing player performance. In this study, we present a comprehensive analysis of these factors using a dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Wankang Zhai , Yuhan Wang

This paper presents a novel approach to analyze human decision-making that involves comparing the behavior of professional chess players relative to a computational benchmark of cognitively bounded rationality. This benchmark is constructed…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-03 Dainis Zegners , Uwe Sunde , Anthony Strittmatter

Online social as an extension of traditional life plays an important role in our daily lives. Users often seek out new friends that have significant similarities such as interests and habits, motivating us to exploit such online information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Lin Zhang , Rui Li

Appropriate ranking algorithms and incentive mechanisms are essential to the creation of high-quality information by users of a social network. However, evaluating such mechanisms in a quantifiable way is a difficult problem. Studies of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2010-06-28 Xixi Luo , Xiaowu Chen , Qingping Zhao , Joshua Shinavier

Many systems, ranging from biological and engineering systems to social systems, can be modeled as directed networks, with links representing directed interaction between two nodes. To assess the importance of a node in a directed network,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-06 Naoki Masuda , Yoji Kawamura , Hiroshi Kori

Networks are universally considered as complex structures of interactions of large multi-component systems. In order to determine the role that each node has inside a complex network, several centrality measures have been developed. Such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-20 Malbor Asllani , Bruno Requiao da Cunha , Ernesto Estrada , James P. Gleeson

We introduce Game networks (G nets), a novel representation for multi-agent decision problems. Compared to other game-theoretic representations, such as strategic or extensive forms, G nets are more structured and more compact; more…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Pierfrancesco La Mura

We consider the problem of predicting human players' actions in repeated strategic interactions. Our goal is to predict the dynamic step-by-step behavior of individual players in previously unseen games. We study the ability of neural…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-11 Yoav Kolumbus , Gali Noti

The relationship between topology and dynamics of complex systems has motivated continuing interest from the scientific community. In the present work, we address this interesting topic from the perspective of simple games, involving two…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Alexandre Benatti , Luciano da F. Costa

In daily fantasy sports, players enter into "contests" where they compete against each other by building teams of athletes that score fantasy points based on what actually occurs in a real-life sports match. For any given sports match,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Madiraju Srilakshmi , Kartavya Kothari , Kamlesh Marathe , Vedavyas Chigurupati , Hitesh Kapoor

How do the ratings of critics and amateurs compare and how should they be combined? Previous research has produced mixed results about the first question, while the second remains unanswered. We have created a new, unique dataset, with wine…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Pantelis P. Analytis , Karthikeya Kaushik , Stefan Herzog , Bahador Bahrami , Ophelia Deroy

We consider neural networks from the point of view of dynamical systems theory. In this spirit we review recent results dealing with the following questions, adressed in the context of specific models. 1. Characterizing the collective…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2010-11-09 B. Cessac
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