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We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

We present general results for the contact process by a method which applies to all transitive graphs of bounded degree, including graphs of exponential growth. The model's infection rates are varied through a control parameter, for which…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-29 Michael Aizenman , Paul Jung

The renewal contact process is a non-Markovian variant of the classical contact process in which recoveries are governed by independent renewal processes with interarrival distribution $\mu$. We establish new sufficient conditions ensuring…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Gustavo O. de Carvalho , Lucas R. de Lima

Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

Consider a discrete time Markov process $X^\epsilon$ on $\mathbf R^d$ that makes a deterministic jump based on its current location, and then takes a small Gaussian step of variance $\epsilon^2$. We study the behavior of the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 William Cooperman , Gautam Iyer , James Nolen

A deterministic walk in a random environment can be understood as a general random process with finite-range dependence that starts repeating a loop once it reaches a site it has visited before. Such process lacks the Markov property. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-15 Ivan Matic

In this paper we introduce a contact process in an evolving random environment (CPERE) on a connected and transitive graph with bounded degree, where we assume that this environment is described through an ergodic spin systems with finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

A convenient framework for dealing with asymptotic limit problems of probabilistic nature is provided. These problems include questions such as finding the asymptotic proportion of terms of a sequence falling inside a given interval, or the…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Michaël Bensimhoun

The aim of this paper is to get asymptotic deviation bounds via a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for cumulative processes also known as compound renewal processes or renewal-reward processes. These processes cumulate independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Patrick Cattiaux , Laetitia Colombani , Manon Costa

This paper states a law of large numbers for a random walk in a random iid environment on ${\mathbb Z}^d$, where the environment follows some Dirichlet distribution. Moreover, we give explicit bounds for the asymptotic velocity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nathanaël Enriquez , Christophe Sabot

This paper is concerned with contact process with random vertex weights on regular trees, and study the asymptotic behavior of the critical infection rate as the degree of the trees increasing to infinity. In this model, the infection…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Yu Pan , Dayue Chen , Xiaofeng Xue

It is known from Bramson (1983) that the maximum of branching Brownian motion at time $t$ is asymptotically around an explicit function $m_t$, which involves a first ballistic order and a logarithmic correction. In this paper, we give an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Louis Chataignier

We study a dissipative version of the contact process, with mean-field interaction, which admits a simple epidemiological interpretation. The propagation of chaos and the corresponding normal fluctuations reveal that the noise present in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Paolo Dai Pra , Elisa Marini

For the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter is totally different in the stable, unstable, and explosive cases. Notwithstanding of this trichotomy, we investigate…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-28 Bernard Bercu , Laure Coutin , Nicolas Savy

In this paper, we develop asymptotic theories for a class of latent variable models for large-scale multi-relational networks. In particular, we establish consistency results and asymptotic error bounds for the (penalized) maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Zhi Wang , Xueying Tang , Jingchen Liu

For the supercritical contact process on the hyper-cubic lattice started from a single infection at the origin and conditioned on survival, we establish two uniformity results for the hitting times $t(x)$, defined for each site $x$ as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Markus Heydenreich , Christian Hirsch , Daniel Valesin

We establish a strong law of large numbers for one-dimensional continuous-time random walks in dynamic random environments under two main assumptions: the environment is required to satisfy a decoupling inequality that can be interpreted as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Weberson S. Arcanjo , Rangel Baldasso , Marcelo R. Hilário , Renato S. dos Santos

A special type of geometric situation in ensembles of non-intersecting paths occurs when the non-intersecting trajectories are required to be nonnegative so that the limit shape becomes tangential to the hard-edge $0$. The local fluctuation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Junwen Liu , Luming Yao , Lun Zhang

In this paper we study random walks on dynamical random environments in $1 + 1$ dimensions. Assuming that the environment is invariant under space-time shifts and fulfills a mild mixing hypothesis, we establish a law of large numbers and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-25 Oriane Blondel , Marcelo R. Hilario , Augusto Teixeira