Related papers: Limit experiments of GARCH
Gillis model, introduced more than 60 years ago, is a non-homogeneous random walk with a position dependent drift. Though parsimoniously cited both in the physical and mathematical literature, it provides one of the very few examples of a…
This paper studies the joint inference on conditional volatility parameters and the innovation moments by means of bootstrap to test for the existence of moments for GARCH(p,q) processes. We propose a residual bootstrap to mimic the joint…
Modeling returns on large portfolios is a challenging problem as the number of parameters in the covariance matrix grows as the square of the size of the portfolio. Traditional correlation models, for example, the dynamic conditional…
The quantum walk (QW) was introduced as a quantum counterpart of the classical random walk. A number of non-classical properties of the QW have been shown, e.g., ballistic spreading, anti-bellshaped limit density, localization. Since around…
This paper derives the analytic form of the $h$-step ahead prediction density of a GARCH(1,1) process under Gaussian innovations, with a possibly asymmetric news impact curve. The contributions of the paper consists both in the derivation…
A standard model of (conditional) heteroscedasticity, i.e., the phenomenon that the variance of a process changes over time, is the Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, which is especially important for…
The separating time for two probability measures on a filtered space is an extended stopping time which captures the phase transition between equivalence and singularity. More specifically, two probability measures are equivalent before…
We develop a uniform test for detecting and dating explosive behavior of a strictly stationary GARCH$(r,s)$ (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) process. Namely, we test the null hypothesis of a globally stable GARCH…
We investigate the behavior of the Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test (GLRT) (Fan, Zhang and Zhang [Ann. Statist. 29 (2001) 153-193]) for time varying coefficient models where the regressors and errors are non-stationary time series and can…
This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of financial time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient…
The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…
One of the most important features of financial time series data is volatility. There are often structural changes in volatility over time, and an accurate estimation of the volatility of financial time series requires careful…
This paper proposes a novel conditional heteroscedastic time series model by applying the framework of quantile regression processes to the ARCH(\infty) form of the GARCH model. This model can provide varying structures for conditional…
In this paper we study time-consistent risk measures for returns that are given by a GARCH(1,1) model. We present a construction of risk measures based on their static counterparts that overcomes the lack of time-consistency. We then study…
In this paper, we investigate the convergence performance of a cooperative diffusion Gauss-Newton (GN) method, which is widely used to solve the nonlinear least squares problems (NLLS) due to the low computation cost compared with Newton's…
We study the class of semi-Levy driven continuous-time GARCH, denoted by SLD-COGARCH, process. The statistical properties of this process are characterized. We show that the state process of such process can be described by a random…
We show the asymptotic long-time equivalence of a generic power law waiting time distribution to the Mittag-Leffler waiting time distribution, characteristic for a time fractional CTRW. This asymptotic equivalence is effected by a…
We investigate the role of nonclassical temporal correlations in enhancing the performance of ticking clocks in a discrete-time scenario. We show that the problem of optimal models for ticking clocks is related to the violation of…
A computationally efficient model is introduced to account for the sub-grid scale velocities of tracer particles dispersed in statistically homogeneous and isotropic turbulent flows. The model embeds the multi-scale nature of turbulent…
We consider a nonparametric version of the integer-valued GARCH(1,1) model for time series of counts. The link function in the recursion for the variances is not specified by finite-dimensional parameters, but we impose nonparametric…