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We study adaptive sensing of Cox point processes, a widely used model from spatial statistics. We introduce three tasks: maximization of captured events, search for the maximum of the intensity function and learning level sets of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

A common task in high-throughput biology is to screen for associations across thousands of units of interest, e.g., genes or proteins. Often, the data for each unit are modeled as Gaussian measurements with unknown mean and variance and are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Bodhisattva Sen

In this paper the Bayesian analysis is applied to assign a probability density to the value of a quantity having a definite sign. This analysis is logically consistent with the results, positive or negative, of repeated measurements.…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-13 D Calonico , F Levi , L Lorini , G Mana

We describe a simple and efficient procedure for approximating the L\'evy measure of a $\text{Gamma}(\alpha,1)$ random variable. We use this approximation to derive a finite sum-representation that converges almost surely to Ferguson's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-26 Mahmoud Zarepour , Luai Al Labadi

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the Poisson means problem. Existing results establish theoretical properties of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) for optimal posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Taehyun Kim

We consider the problem of parameter estimation by observations of inhomogeneous Poisson process. It is well-known that if the regularity conditions are fulfilled then the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators are consistent,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Yury A. Kutoyants

Our purpose in this paper is to apply the general methodology for model selection based on T-estimators developed in Birg\'{e} [Ann. Inst. H. Poincar\'{e} Probab. Statist. 42 (2006) 273--325] to the particular situation of the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lucien Birgé

The present paper introduces a fully objective Bayesian analysis to obtain the posterior distribution of an entropy measure. Notably, we consider the gamma distribution, which describes many natural phenomena in physics, engineering, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Eduardo Ramos , Osafu A. Egbon , Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Francisco Louzada

The Pitman-Yor process is a random discrete probability distribution of which the atoms can be used to model the relative abundance of species. The process is indexed by a type parameter $\sigma$, which controls the number of different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 S. E. M. P. Franssen , A. W. van der Vaart

The objective Bayesian treatment of a model representing two independent Poisson processes, labelled as "signal" and "background" and both contributing additively to the total number of counted events, is considered. It is shown that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-04-16 Diego Casadei

Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

In this paper, we present a comprehensive analysis of the posterior covariance field in Gaussian processes, with applications to the posterior covariance matrix. The analysis is based on the Gaussian prior covariance but the approach also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Difeng Cai , Edmond Chow , Yuanzhe Xi

A new class of dependent random measures which we call {\it compound random measures} are proposed and the use of normalized versions of these random measures as priors in Bayesian nonparametric mixture models is considered. Their…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-03 Jim E. Griffin , Fabrizio Leisen

Despite the fundamental nature of the inhomogeneous Poisson process in the theory and application of stochastic processes, and its attractive generalizations (e.g. Cox process), few tractable nonparametric modeling approaches of intensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Seth Flaxman , Yee Whye Teh , Dino Sejdinovic

Mixture models are well-known for their versatility, and the Bayesian paradigm is a suitable platform for mixture analysis, particularly when the number of components is unknown. Bhattacharya (2008) introduced a mixture model based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-19 Sabyasachi Mukhopadhyay , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We develop nonparametric Bayesian modelling approaches for Poisson processes, using weighted combinations of structured beta densities to represent the point process intensity function. For a regular spatial domain, such as the unit square,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Chunyi Zhao , Athanasios Kottas

In this paper, we consider the sigmoid Gaussian Hawkes process model: the baseline intensity and triggering kernel of Hawkes process are both modeled as the sigmoid transformation of random trajectories drawn from Gaussian processes (GP).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

We propose Mecke-Palm formulas for multiple integrals with respect to a Poisson random measure interlaced with its intensity measure. We apply such formulas to multiple mixed L\'evy systems of L\'evy processes and obtain moment formulas for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Krzysztof Bogdan , Jan Rosiński , Grzegorz Serafin , Łukasz Wojciechowski

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the intensity of a Poisson process $N$ by using thresholding rules. In this paper, the intensity, defined as the derivative of the mean measure of $N$ with respect to $ndx$ where $n$ is a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-22 Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

In a Bayesian context, prior specification for inference on monotone densities is conceptually straightforward, but proving posterior convergence theorems is complicated by the fact that desirable prior concentration properties often are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Ryan Martin