English

Empirical and Full Bayes estimation of the type of a Pitman-Yor process

Statistics Theory 2022-08-31 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

The Pitman-Yor process is a random discrete probability distribution of which the atoms can be used to model the relative abundance of species. The process is indexed by a type parameter σ\sigma, which controls the number of different species in a finite sample from a realization of the distribution. A random sample of size nn from the Pitman-Yor process of type σ>0\sigma>0 will contain of the order nσn^\sigma distinct values (``species''). In this paper we consider the estimation of the type parameter by both empirical Bayes and full Bayes methods. We derive the asymptotic normality of the empirical Bayes estimator and a Bernstein-von Mises theorem for the full Bayes posterior, in the frequentist setup that the observations are a random sample from a given true distribution. We also consider the estimation of the second parameter of the Pitman-Yor process, the prior precision. We apply our results to derive the limit behaviour of the likelihood ratio in a setting of forensic statistics.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2208.14255,
  title  = {Empirical and Full Bayes estimation of the type of a Pitman-Yor process},
  author = {S. E. M. P. Franssen and A. W. van der Vaart},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2208.14255},
  year   = {2022}
}