Related papers: Measure concentration through non-Lipschitz observ…
The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…
Concentration properties of functionals of general Poisson processes are studied. Using a modified $\Phi$-Sobolev inequality a recursion scheme for moments is established, which is of independent interest. This is applied to derive moment…
We show that any probability measure satisfying a Matrix Poincar\'e inequality with respect to some reversible Markov generator satisfies an exponential matrix concentration inequality depending on the associated matrix carr\'e du champ…
We establish a general semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem for Bayesian nonparametric priors based on continuous observations in a periodic reversible multidimensional diffusion model. We consider a wide range of functionals…
This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…
We adopt Bayesian approach to consider the inverse problem of estimate a function from noisy observations. One important component of this approach is the prior measure. Total variation prior has been proved with no discretization invariant…
Let $Y$ be a nonnegative random variable with mean $\mu$ and finite positive variance $\sigma^2$, and let $Y^s$, defined on the same space as $Y$, have the $Y$ size biased distribution, that is, the distribution characterized by…
We consider the invariant measure of a homogeneous continuous- time Markov process in the quarter-plane. The basic solutions of the global balance equation are the geometric distributions. We first show that the invariant measure can not be…
For general absorbed Markov processes $(X_t)_{0\leq t<\tau_{\partial}}$ having a quasi-stationary distribution (QSD) $\pi$ and absorption time $\tau_{\partial}$, we introduce a Dobrushin-type criterion providing for exponential convergence…
Standard GPs offer a flexible modelling tool for well-behaved processes. However, deviations from Gaussianity are expected to appear in real world datasets, with structural outliers and shocks routinely observed. In these cases GPs can fail…
This paper is devoted to the problem of determining the concentration bounds that are achievable in non-parametric regression. We consider the setting where features are supported on a bounded subset of $\mathbb{R}^d$, the regression…
In this article, we prove the Eyring-Kramers formula for non-reversible metastable diffusion processes that have a Gibbs invariant measure. Our result indicates that non-reversible processes exhibit faster metastable transitions between…
We investigate an example of noise-induced stabilization in the plane that was also considered in (Gawedzki, Herzog, Wehr 2010) and (Birrell, Herzog, Wehr 2011). We show that despite the deterministic system not being globally stable, the…
This article studies the asymptotic behaviors of nonparametric estimators of two overlapping measures, namely Pianka's and MacArthur-Levins measures. The plug-in principle and the method of kernel density estimation are used to estimate…
We are interested in Filippov systems which preserve a probability measure on a compact manifold. We define a measure to be invariant for a Filippov system as the natural analogous definition of invariant measure for flows. Our main result…
In order to sample from a given target distribution (often of Gibbs type), the Monte Carlo Markov chain method consists in constructing an ergodic Markov process whose invariant measure is the target distribution. By sampling the Markov…
We present a general theory to quantify the uncertainty from imposing structural assumptions on the second-order structure of nonstationary Hilbert space-valued processes, which can be measured via functionals of time-dependent spectral…
The method to derive uniform bounds with Gaussian and Rademacher complexities is extended to the case where the sample average is replaced by a nonlinear statistic. Tight bounds are obtained for U-statistics, smoothened L-statistics and…
In this paper we intend to give a comprehensive approach of functional inequalities for diffusion processes under some "curvature" assumptions. Our notion of curvature coincides with the usual $\Gamma_2$ curvature of Bakry and Emery in the…
L\'evy processes, known for their ability to model complex dynamics with skewness, heavy tails and discontinuities, play a critical role in stochastic modeling across various domains. However, inference for most L\'evy processes, whether in…