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Information is often stored in a distributed and proprietary form, and agents who own information are often self-interested and require incentives to reveal their information. Suitable mechanisms are required to elicit and aggregate such…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Wenlong Wang , Thomas Pfeiffer

In general it is not clear which kind of information is supposed to be used for calculating the fair value of a contingent claim. Even if the information is specified, it is not guaranteed that the fair value is uniquely determined by the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-01 Gabriel Frahm

A market with asymmetric information can be viewed as a repeated exchange game between the informed sector and the uninformed one. In a market with risk-neutral agents, De Meyer [2010] proves that the price process should be a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-13 Bernard De Meyer , Gaëtan Fournier

We study the problem of designing posted-price mechanisms in order to sell a single unit of a single item within a finite period of time. Motivated by real-world problems, such as, e.g., long-term rental of rooms and apartments, we assume…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Giulia Romano , Gianluca Tartaglia , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti

In this chapter we review some recent results on the dynamics of price formation in financial markets and its relations with the efficient market hypothesis. Specifically, we present the limit order book mechanism for markets and we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-24 Paolo Barucca , Fabrizio Lillo

A platform commits to a search algorithm that maps prices to search order. Given this algorithm, sellers set prices, and consumers engage in sequential search. This framework generalizes the ordered search literature. We introduce a special…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-03-06 Xiaoyu Chen , Jingmin Huang , Yibo Lian

We propose a class of Markovian agent based models for the time evolution of a share price in an interactive market. The models rely on a microscopic description of a market of buyers and sellers who change their opinion about the stock…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Anton Bovier , Jiri Cerny , Ostap Hryniv

When eliciting forecasts from a group of experts, it is important to reward predictions so that market participants are incentivized to tell the truth. Existing mechanisms partially accomplish this but remain susceptible to groups of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-26 Jack Edwards

A binary classifier that tries to predict if the price of an asset will increase or decrease naturally gives rise to a trading strategy that follows the prediction and thus always has a position in the market. Selective classification…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Nestoras Chalkidis , Rahul Savani

Introduced in the late 90s, the passport option gives its holder the right to trade in a market and receive any positive gain in the resulting traded account at maturity. Pricing the option amounts to solving a stochastic control problem…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-28 Josef Teichmann , Hanna Wutte

We study auction design when a seller relies on machine-learning predictions of bidders' valuations that may be unreliable. Motivated by modern ML systems that are often accurate but occasionally fail in a way that is essentially…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Ilan Lobel , Humberto Moreira , Omar Mouchtaki

We introduce solvable stochastic dealer models, which can reproduce basic empirical laws of financial markets such as the power law of price change. Starting from the simplest model that is almost equivalent to a Poisson random noise…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-29 Kenta Yamada , Hideki Takayasu , Takatoshi Ito , Misako Takayasu

There are several aspects of data markets that distinguish them from a typical commodity market: asymmetric information, the non-rivalrous nature of data, and informational externalities. Formally, this gives rise to a new class of games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Samir Wadhwa , Roy Dong

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

This paper uses the development of multi-agent market models to present a unified approach to the joint questions of how financial market movements may be simulated, predicted, and hedged against. We examine the effect of different market…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 P. Jefferies , M. L. Hart , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson

In this work, we aim to design a data marketplace; a robust real-time matching mechanism to efficiently buy and sell training data for Machine Learning tasks. While the monetization of data and pre-trained models is an essential focus of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Anish Agarwal , Munther Dahleh , Tuhin Sarkar

Prediction markets allow traders to bet on potential future outcomes. These markets exist for weather, political, sports, and economic forecasting. Within this work we consider a decentralized framework for prediction markets using…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-10 Hamed Amini , Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

We study the following fundamental data-driven pricing problem. How can/should a decision-maker price its product based on data at a single historical price? How valuable is such data? We consider a decision-maker who optimizes over…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Amine Allouah , Achraf Bahamou , Omar Besbes

We study how to maximize the broker's (expected) profit in a two-sided market, where she buys items from a set of sellers and resells them to a set of buyers. Each seller has a single item to sell and holds a private value on her item, and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-24 Jing Chen , Bo Li , Yingkai Li

We consider the pricing problem faced by a seller who assigns a price to a good that confers its benefits not only to its buyers, but also to other individuals around them. For example, a snow-blower is potentially useful not only to the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-05-02 Michal Feldman , David Kempe , Brendan Lucier , Renato Paes Leme