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We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas , Juergen Huber , Michael Kirchler

The topics treated in this thesis are inherently two-fold. The first part considers the problem of a market maker optimally setting bid/ask quotes over a finite time horizon, to maximize her expected utility. The intensities of the orders…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Diego Zabaljauregui

A mean-reverting financial instrument is optimally traded by buying it when it is sufficiently below the estimated `mean level' and selling it when it is above. In the presence of linear transaction costs, a large amount of value is paid…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-28 Richard Martin , Torsten Schöneborn

The football transfer market is a complex, dynamic environment in which clubs compete to acquire players who strengthen their squads. While several frameworks estimate a player's worth, a comprehensive approach that captures both squad…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-15 Tathagata Basu , Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy

We study a linear price impact model including other liquidity takers, whose flow of orders either follows a Poisson or a Hawkes process. The optimal execution problem is solved explicitly in this context, and the closed-formula optimal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-10 Aurélien Alfonsi , Pierre Blanc

This article considers the pricing and hedging of a call option when liquidity matters, that is, either for a large nominal or for an illiquid underlying asset. In practice, as opposed to the classical assumptions of a price-taking agent in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-06 Olivier Guéant , Jiang Pu

Trading large volumes of a financial asset in order driven markets requires the use of algorithmic execution dividing the volume in many transactions in order to minimize costs due to market impact. A proper design of an optimal execution…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Enzo Busseti , Fabrizio Lillo

We study how to optimally design selection mechanisms, accounting for agents' investment incentives. A principal wishes to allocate a resource of homogeneous quality to a heterogeneous population of agents. The principal commits to a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-11 Victor Augias , Eduardo Perez-Richet

We provide methods to validate and compare sensor outputs, or inference algorithms applied to sensor data, by adapting statistical scoring rules. The reported output should either be in the form of a prediction interval or of a parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-07 A. D. Martin , T. C. A. Molteno , M. Parry

An investor trades a safe and several risky assets with linear price impact to maximize expected utility from terminal wealth. In the limit for small impact costs, we explicitly determine the optimal policy and welfare, in a general…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-31 Ludovic Moreau , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , H. Mete Soner

We discuss a model of heterogeneous, inductive rational agents inspired by the El Farol Bar problem and the Minority Game. As in markets, agents interact through a collective aggregate variable -- which plays a role similar to price --…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matteo Marsili , Damien Challet , Riccardo Zecchina

We use standard physics techniques to model trading and price formation in a market under the assumption that order arrival and cancellations are Poisson random processes. This model makes testable predictions for the most basic properties…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Marcus G. Daniels , J. Doyne Farmer , Laszlo Gillemot , Giulia Iori , Eric Smith

Auto-bidding systems are widely used in advertising to automatically determine bid values under constraints such as total budget and Return-on-Spend (RoS) targets. Existing works often assume that the value of an ad impression, such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jiale Han , Chun Gan , Chengcheng Zhang , Jie He , Zhangang Lin , Ching Law , Xiaowu Dai

In budget-feasible mechanism design, a buyer wishes to procure a set of items of maximum value from self-interested players. We have a valuation function $v:2^U \to \mathbb{R}_+$, where $U$ is the set of all items, where $v(S)$ specifies…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Rian Neogi , Kanstantsin Pashkovich , Chaitanya Swamy

Recent technological developments have changed the fundamental ways stock markets function, bringing regulatory instances to assess the benefits of these developments. In parallel, the ongoing machine learning revolution and its multiple…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-09 Johann Lussange , Boris Gutkin

Rather than directly predicting future prices or returns, we follow a more recent trend in asset management and classify the state of a market based on labels. We use numerous standard labels and even construct our own ones. The labels rely…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Michal Balcerak , Thomas Schmelzer

Market confidence is essential for successful investing. By incorporating multi-market into the evolutionary minority game, we investigate the effects of investor beliefs on the evolution of collective behaviors and asset prices. When there…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-18 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Ping Huang , Chen-Yang Zhong , Tian Qiu

We formulate an equilibrium model of intraday trading in electricity markets. Agents face balancing constraints between their customers consumption plus intraday sales and their production plus intraday purchases. They have continuously…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-20 René Aid , Andrea Cosso , Huyên Pham

This paper studies optimal market making for large-tick assets in the presence of latency. We consider a random walk model for the asset price, and formulate the market maker's optimization problem using Markov Decision Processes (MDP). We…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-18 Xuefeng Gao , Yunhan Wang

We consider a model of a data broker selling information to a single agent to maximize his revenue. The agent has a private valuation of the additional information, and upon receiving the signal from the data broker, the agent can conduct…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-08 Yingkai Li
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