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Joint distributions over many variables are frequently modeled by decomposing them into products of simpler, lower-dimensional conditional distributions, such as in sparsely connected Bayesian networks. However, automatically learning such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

Decision trees built with data remain in widespread use for nonparametric prediction. Predicting probability distributions is preferred over point predictions when uncertainty plays a prominent role in analysis and decision-making. We study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Sara Shashaani , Ozge Surer , Matthew Plumlee , Seth Guikema

We propose dynamical systems trees (DSTs) as a flexible class of models for describing multiple processes that interact via a hierarchy of aggregating parent chains. DSTs extend Kalman filters, hidden Markov models and nonlinear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Andrew Howard , Tony S. Jebara

This work focuses on clustering populations with a hierarchical dependency structure that can be described by a tree. A particular example that is the focus of our work is the phylogenetic tree, with nodes often representing biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-28 Hanxi Sun , Heejung Shim , Vinayak Rao

Random Forest (Breiman, 2001) is a successful and widely used regression and classification algorithm. Part of its appeal and reason for its versatility is its (implicit) construction of a kernel-type weighting function on training data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-13 Domagoj Ćevid , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

Earth's forests play an important role in the fight against climate change, and are in turn negatively affected by it. Effective monitoring of different tree species is essential to understanding and improving the health and biodiversity of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Venkatesh Ramesh , Arthur Ouaknine , David Rolnick

Detection of differential item functioning by use of the logistic modelling approach has a long tradition. One big advantage of the approach is that it can be used to investigate non-uniform DIF as well as uniform DIF. The classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-24 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz

Cyber-physical systems come with increasingly complex architectures and failure modes, which complicates the task of obtaining accurate system reliability models. At the same time, with the emergence of the (industrial) Internet-of-Things,…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-16 Alexis Linard , Doina Bucur , Marielle Stoelinga

Urban trees help regulate temperature, reduce energy consumption, improve urban air quality, reduce wind speeds, and mitigating the urban heat island effect. Urban trees also play a key role in climate change mitigation and global warming…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Emily Waters , Mahdi Maktabdar Oghaz , Lakshmi Babu Saheer

Being able to successfully determine whether the testing samples has similar distribution as the training samples is a fundamental question to address before we can safely deploy most of the machine learning models into practice. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Zhaiming Shen , Menglun Wang , Guang Cheng , Ming-Jun Lai , Lin Mu , Ruihao Huang , Qi Liu , Hao Zhu

This paper presents a new approach for trees-based regression, such as simple regression tree, random forest and gradient boosting, in settings involving correlated data. We show the problems that arise when implementing standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-09 Assaf Rabinowicz , Saharon Rosset

Understanding the future climate is crucial for informed policy decisions on climate change prevention and mitigation. Earth system models play an important role in predicting future climate, requiring accurate representation of complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Christian Reimers , David Hafezi Rachti , Guahua Liu , Alexander J. Winkler

Tree-structured models are a powerful alternative to parametric regression models if non-linear effects and interactions are present in the data. Yet, classical tree-structured models might not be appropriate if data comes in clusters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Nikolai Spuck , Matthias Schmid , Moritz Berger

Tree-based machine learning models, such as decision trees and random forests, have been hugely successful in classification tasks primarily because of their predictive power in supervised learning tasks and ease of interpretation. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Tanmay Surve , Romila Pradhan

Survival analysis studies and predicts the time of death, or other singular unrepeated events, based on historical data, while the true time of death for some instances is unknown. Survival trees enable the discovery of complex nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Tim Huisman , Jacobus G. M. van der Linden , Emir Demirović

In order to conduct a statistical analysis on a given set of phylogenetic gene trees, we often use a distance measure between two trees. In a statistical distance-based method to analyze discordance between gene trees, it is a key to decide…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-05 Jing Xi , Jin Xie , Ruriko Yoshida

Recent methodological advances are enabling better examination of speciation and extinction processes and patterns. A major open question is the origin of large discrepancies in species number between groups of the same age. Existing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-01 Sacha Laurent , Marc Robinson-Rechavi , Nicolas Salamin

Diversification models describe the random growth of evolutionary trees, modeling the historical relationships of species through speciation and extinction events. One class of such models allows for independently changing traits, or types,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Dakota Dragomir , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Scalable probabilistic modeling and prediction in high dimensional multivariate time-series is a challenging problem, particularly for systems with hidden sources of dependence and/or homogeneity. Examples of such problems include dynamic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-07 Forough Arabshahi , Furong Huang , Animashree Anandkumar , Carter T. Butts , Sean M. Fitshugh

Change detection, as an important and widely applied technique in the field of remote sensing, aims to analyze changes in surface areas over time and has broad applications in areas such as environmental monitoring, urban development, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Zihan Yu , Tianxiao Li , Yuxin Zhu , Rongze Pan