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In many semiparametric models, the parameter of interest is identified through conditional expectations, where the conditioning variable involves a single-index that is estimated in the first step. Among the examples are sample selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-23 Kyungchul Song

We review the Akaike, deviance, and Watanabe-Akaike information criteria from a Bayesian perspective, where the goal is to estimate expected out-of-sample-prediction error using a biascorrected adjustment of within-sample error. We focus on…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-24 Andrew Gelman , Jessica Hwang , Aki Vehtari

A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

In multivariate extreme value analysis, the estimation of the dependence structure in extremes is demanding, especially in the context of high-dimensional data. Therefore, a common approach is to reduce the model dimension by considering…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Lucas Butsch , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We propose two methods to evaluate the conditional Akaike information (cAI) for nonlinear mixed-effects models with no restriction on cluster size. Method 1 is designed for continuous data and includes formulae for the derivatives of fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan , James T. Thorson

Bayesian methods - either based on Bayes Factors or BIC - are now widely used for model selection. One property that might reasonably be demanded of any model selection method is that if a model ${M}_{1}$ is preferred to a model ${M}_{0}$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-20 Piotr Zwiernik , Jim Q. Smith

Mixture models are becoming a popular tool for the clustering and classification of high-dimensional data. In such high dimensional applications, model selection is problematic. The Bayesian information criterion, which is popular in lower…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-06 Sakyajit Bhattacharya , Paul D. McNicholas

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Model selection based on classical information criteria, such as BIC, is generally computationally demanding, but its properties are well studied. On the other hand, model selection based on parameter shrinkage by $\ell_1$-type penalties is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-10 Kun Zhang , Heng Peng , Laiwan Chan , Aapo Hyvarinen

Model selection in mixed models based on the conditional distribution is appropriate for many practical applications and has been a focus of recent statistical research. In this paper we introduce the R-package cAIC4 that allows for the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-20 Benjamin Säfken , David Rügamer , Thomas Kneib , Sonja Greven

Selecting the number of topics in LDA models is considered to be a difficult task, for which alternative approaches have been proposed. The performance of the recently developed singular Bayesian information criterion (sBIC) is evaluated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Victor Bystrov , Viktoriia Naboka , Anna Staszewska-Bystrova , Peter Winker

The classic Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) is not invariant to reparameterization and can have a negative and unstable effective number of parameters. The reason for the effective number of parameters being negative is actually that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Xingyao Xiao , Sophia Rabe-Hesketh

Prior design is one of the most important problems in both statistics and machine learning. The cross validation (CV) and the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) are predictive measures of the Bayesian estimation, however, it has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-30 Sumio Watanabe

Principal component analysis (PCA) is the most commonly used statistical procedure for dimension reduction. An important issue for applying PCA is to determine the rank, which is the number of dominant eigenvalues of the covariance matrix.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-06 Hung Hung , Su-Yun Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

We discuss Bayesian inference for parameters selected using the data. First, we provide a critical analysis of the existing positions in the literature regarding the correct Bayesian approach under selection. Second, we propose two types of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

Claeskens and Hjort (2003) constructed the focused information criterion (FIC) and developed frequentist model averaging methods using maximum likelihood estimators assuming the observations to be independent and identically distributed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-24 S. C. Pandhare , T. V. Ramanathan

The standard Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) is derived under regularity conditions which are not always satisfied by the graphical models with hidden variables. In this paper we derive the BIC score for Bayesian networks in the case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Piotr Zwiernik

We study ranking and selection under input uncertainty in settings where additional data cannot be collected. We propose the Nonparametric Input-Output Uncertainty Comparisons (NIOU-C) procedure to construct a confidence set that includes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Jaime Gonzalez-Hodar , Johannes Milz , Eunhye Song

We give two prediction intervals (PI) for Generalized Linear Models that take model selection uncertainty into account. The first is a straightforward extension of asymptotic normality results and the second includes an extra optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Dean Dustin , Bertrand Clarke

Feedforward neural networks (FNNs) can be viewed as non-linear regression models, where covariates enter the model through a combination of weighted summations and non-linear functions. Although these models have some similarities to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Andrew McInerney , Kevin Burke