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The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

Large continuous-time Markov chains with exponentially small transition rates arise in modeling complex systems in physics, chemistry and biology. We propose a constructive graph-algorithmic approach to determine the sequence of critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Tingyue Gan , Maria Cameron

The paper is largely of a review nature. It considers two main methods used to study stability and obtain appropriate quantitative estimates of perturbations of (inhomogeneous) Markov chains with continuous time and a finite or countable…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Alexander Zeifman , Victor Korolev , Yacov Satin

We give Hoeffding and Bernstein-type concentration inequalities for the largest eigenvalue of sums of random matrices arising from a Markov chain. We consider time-dependent matrix-valued functions on a general state space, generalizing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Joe Neeman , Bobby Shi , Rachel Ward

The Semi-Markov property of Continuous Time Random Walks (CTRWs) and their limit processes is utilized, and the probability distributions of the bivariate Markov process $(X(t),V(t))$ are calculated: $X(t)$ is a CTRW limit and $V(t)$ a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-20 G. Gill , P. Straka

In this paper, the recurrent events that can occur more than one over the follow-up time have been modeled by phase-type distributions. We use the finite-state continuous-time Markov process with multi states for patients with recurrent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Roufeh Asghari , Amin Hassan Zadeh

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

For irreducible, time-homogeneous Markov networks, mutual linearity has recently been established for both occupation probabilities and network currents in the stationary regime as well as in the non-stationary regime in Laplace space. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-04 Julian B. Voits , Ulrich S. Schwarz

We consider a class of discrete time Markov chains with state space [0,1] and the following dynamics. At each time step, first the direction of the next transition is chosen at random with probability depending on the current location. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Shaun McKinlay , Konstantin Borovkov

We develop a new bidirectional algorithm for estimating Markov chain multi-step transition probabilities: given a Markov chain, we want to estimate the probability of hitting a given target state in $\ell$ steps after starting from a given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-11-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Peter Lofgren

Multi-state models are commonly used for intermittent observations of a state over time, but these are generally based on the Markov assumption, that transition rates are independent of the time spent in current and previous states. In a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Christopher Jackson

We introduce a class of continuous-time bivariate phase-type distributions for modeling dependencies from common shocks. The construction uses continuous-time Markov processes that evolve identically until an internal common-shock event,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta , Jorge Yslas

We consider the problem of finding the transition rates of a continuous-time homogeneous Markov chain under the empirical condition that the state changes at most once during a time interval of unit length. It is proven that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Philippe Carette , Marie-Anne Guerry

The hitting and mixing times are two fundamental quantities associated with Markov chains. In Peres and Sousi[PS2015] and Oliveira[Oli2012], the authors show that the mixing times and "worst-case" hitting times of reversible Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Robert M. Anderson , Haosui Duanmu , Aaron Smith

We examine two analytical characterisation of the metastable behavior of a Markov chain. The first one expressed in terms of its transition probabilities, and the second one in terms of its large deviations rate functional. Consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-07 L. Bertini , D. Gabrielli , C. Landim

In the classical theory of Markov chains, one may study the mean time to reach some chosen state, and it is well-known that in the irreducible, finite case, such quantity can be calculated in terms of the fundamental matrix of the walk, as…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-06-17 C. F. Lardizabal , L. Velázquez

We present a novel algorithm to solve a non-linear system of equations, whose solution can be interpreted as a tight lower bound on the vector of expected hitting times of a Markov chain whose transition probabilities are only partially…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Thomas Krak

We study the Markov chain on $\mathbf{F}_p$ obtained by applying a function $f$ and adding $\pm\gamma$ with equal probability. When $f$ is a linear function, this is the well-studied Chung--Diaconis--Graham process. We consider two cases:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Jimmy He

We investigate the Markov nature, Cascade of information from large time scale to small scale and extended self similarity properties of the beat to beat fluctuations of healthy subjects as well as those with congestive heart failure. To…

We consider a countable system of interacting (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic differential equations driven by independent Brownian motions and indexed by the vertices of a locally finite graph $G = (V,E)$. The drift of the process at…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan , Ruoyu Wu