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Time series regression models are commonly used in time series analysis. However, in modern real-world applications, serially correlated data with an ultra-high dimension and fat tails are prevalent. This presents a challenge in developing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Linbo Liu , Danna Zhang

We explore a combinatorial framework which efficiently quantifies the asymmetries between minima and maxima in local fluctuations of time series. We firstly showcase its performance by applying it to a battery of synthetic cases. We find…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-10-16 Uri Hasson , Jacopo Iacovacci , Ben Davis , Ryan Flanagan , Enzo Tagliazucchi , Helmut Laufs , Lucas Lacasa

In a system made up of independent random walks, fluctuations of order $n^{1/4}$ from the hydrodynamic limit come from particle current across characteristics. We show that a two-parameter space-time particle current process converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-29 Rohini Kumar

The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Mauro Politi , Nicolas Millot , Anirban Chakraborti

We study current fluctuations in lattice gases in the hydrodynamic scaling limit. More precisely, we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical current in the symmetric simple exclusion process with rate functional I. We then…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-18 L. Bertini , A. De Sole , D. Gabrielli , G. Jona-Lasinio , C. Landim

We use the macroscopic fluctuation theory (MFT) to evaluate the probability distribution P of extreme values of integrated current J at a specified time t=T in the symmetric simple exclusion process (SSEP) on an infinite line. As shown…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Arkady Vilenkin , Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

We present the elliptical processes -- a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsumes the Gaussian process and the Student-t process. This generalization includes a range of new fat-tailed behaviors yet retains computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-03 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas Schön

We study the effect of phase slips in a quasi 1d superconducting channel along which a current flows and report a new phenomenon where an avalanche of phase slips occurs. This limits the critical current in thin films and wires and drives…

Superconductivity · Physics 2017-10-17 M. B. Sobnack , F. V. Kusmartsev

We propose a trajectory-based quasiclassical method for approximating dynamics in condensed phase systems. Building upon the previously developed Optimized Mean Trajectory (OMT) approximation that has been used to compute linear and…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-08-23 Kritanjan Polley

We describe a new method of overcoming problems inherent in peculiar velocity surveys by using data compression as a filter with which to separate large-scale, linear flows from small-scale noise that biases the results systematically. We…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Hume A Feldman , Richard Watkins , Adrian Melott , Will Chambers

We study current fluctuations in lattice gases in the macroscopic limit extending the dynamic approach to density fluctuations developed in previous articles. More precisely, we derive large deviation estimates for the space--time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-18 L. Bertini , A. De Sole , D. Gabrielli , G. Jona-Lasinio , C. Landim

We review some recent developments which make use of the concept of `superstatistics', an effective description for nonequilibrium systems with a varying intensive parameter such as the inverse temperature. We describe how the asymptotic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Christian Beck

This note is concerned with accurate and computationally efficient approximations of moments of Gaussian random variables passed through sigmoid or softmax mappings. These approximations are semi-analytical (i.e. they involve the numerical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-07 Jean Daunizeau

In this monograph, we prove an asymptotic approximation for integrals of probability densities over sets in finite dimensional euclidean space, which are far away from the origin (asymptotic sets). We use this approximation to investigate…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Philippe Barbe

The supercurrent field effect is experimentally realized in various nano-scale devices, based on the superconductivity suppression by external electric fields being effective for confined systems. In spite of intense research, a microscopic…

Superconductivity · Physics 2024-05-13 Alessio Zaccone , Vladimir M. Fomin

Interacting particle systems with many degrees of freedom may undergo phase transitions to sustain atypical fluctuations of dynamical observables such as the current or the activity. This leads in some cases to symmetry-broken space-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-23 Carlos Pérez-Espigares , Pablo I. Hurtado

A totally asymmetric exclusion process consisting of classical particles with next-nearest-neighbor interactions has been considered on a 1D discrete lattice with a ring geometry. Using large deviation techniques, we have investigated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Sara Kaviani , Farhad H. Jafarpour

In this work we review the application of the theory of Gaussian processes to the modeling of noise in pulsar-timing data analysis, and we derive various useful and optimized representations for the likelihood expressions that are needed in…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-11-19 Rutger van Haasteren , Michele Vallisneri

In this work we illustrate our novel quantitative simulation approach for dense amorphous polymer systems, as discussed in our previous work[Kulkarni et al., A Novel Approach for Lattice Simulations of Polymer Chains in Dense Amorphous…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-05-06 Joydeep Mukherjee , Antony N. Beris

This paper analyzes a method to approximate the first passage time probability density function which turns to be particularly useful if only sample data are available. The method relies on a Laguerre-Gamma polynomial approximation and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Elvira Di Nardo , Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Tommaso Martini
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