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Simulation results are presented from a new general circulation model (GCM) of Titan, the Titan Atmospheric Model (TAM), which couples the Flexible Modeling System (FMS) spectral dynamical core to a suite of external/sub-grid-scale physics.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Juan M. Lora , Jonathan I. Lunine , Joellen L. Russell

The stability of Earth's climate on geological timescales is enabled by the carbon-silicate cycle that acts as a negative feedback mechanism stabilizing surface temperatures via the intake and outgas of atmospheric carbon. On Earth, this…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-02 Diana Valencia , Vivian Yun Yan Tan , Zachary Zajac

The Sun's activity cycle governs the radiation, particle and magnetic flux in the heliosphere creating hazardous space weather. Decadal-scale variations define space climate and force the Earth's atmosphere. However, predicting the solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-11 Prantika Bhowmik , Dibyendu Nandy

It is shown that global climate exhibits chaotic response to solar forcing variability in a vast range of timescales: from annual to multi-millennium. Unlike linear systems, where periodic forcing leads to periodic response, nonlinear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-01-05 A. Bershadskii

The present earth warming up is often explained by the atmosphere gas greenhouse effect. This explanation is in contradiction with the thermodynamics second law. The warming up by greenhouse effect is quite improbable. It is cloud…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-08-07 Ahmed Boucenna

Current techniques for predicting climate change are mainly based on "massive" deterministic numerical modeling. However, the ocean-atmosphere system is a so-called "complex system", made up of a large number of interacting elements. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-31 Francois Louchet

The global ocean meridional overturning circulation (GMOC) is central for ocean transport and climate variations. However, a comprehensive picture of its historical mean state and variability remains vague due to limitations in modelling…

Errors in applying regression models and wavelet filters used to analyze geophysical signals are discussed: (1) multidecadal natural oscillations (e.g. the quasi 60-year Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), North Atlantic Oscillation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-05-14 Nicola Scafetta

Reliable wind speed data is crucial for applications such as estimating local (future) wind power. Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provide forecasts over multi-decadal periods. However, their outputs vary…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Sofia Morelli , Nina Effenberger , Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

The energy-balance model of global climate, which is taking into account a nontrivial role of solar and galactic protons, is presented. The model is described by the equation of fold catastrophe relative to increment of temperature, where…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. D. Rusov , A. V. Glushkov , V. N. Vaschenko , V. N. Pavlovich , T. N. Zelentsova , O. T. Mihalus , V. A. Tarasov , D. N. Saranuk

System identification method (SIM) was used to evaluate the Earth equilibrium climate sensitivity. According to our simulations, the equilibrium climate sensitivity was found to be between 2 deg C and 7 deg C. Analysis of the changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-16 Alexei V Karnaukhov , Sergei F Lyuksyutov , Artem V Aliakin , Mikhail E Prokhorov , Sergei I Blinnikov

It is commonly accepted that the variations of Earth's orbit and obliquity control the timing of Pleistocene glacial-interglacial cycles. Evidence comes from power spectrum analysis of palaeoclimate records and from inspection of the timing…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Michel Crucifix

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

The Cassini mission unveiled the intense and diverse activity in Saturn's atmosphere: banded jets, waves, vortices, equatorial oscillations. To set the path towards a better understanding of those phenomena, we performed high-resolution…

Earth's energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere is a key climate system metric, but its natural variability is poorly constrained by the short observational record and large uncertainty in coupled climate models. While existing ocean…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Dominik Stiller , Gregory J. Hakim

Assessing the consistency between short-term global temperature trends in observations and climate model projections is a challenging problem. While climate models capture many processes governing short-term climate fluctuations, they are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-09-23 Patrick J. Michaels , Paul C. Knappenberger , John R. Christy , Chad S. Herman , Lucia M. Liljegren , James D. Annan

Robustly modeling the inner edge of the habitable zone is essential for determining the most promising potentially habitable exoplanets for atmospheric characterization. Global climate models (GCMs) have become the standard tool for…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-25 Jun Yang , Jeremy Leconte , Eric T. Wolf , Timonthy Merlis , Daniel D. B. Koll , Francois Forget , Dorian S. Abbot

Oceanic atmospheric oscillations and climate variability are tightly linked and both exhibit broad band spectral content that ranges, with roughly equal strength, from annual to centennial periodicity. The explanation for variability based…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-23 Ian R. Edmonds

This paper aims to project a climate change scenario using a stochastic paleotemperature time series model and compare it with the prevailing consensus. The ARIMA - Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Process model was used for this…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-15 Gilmar V. F. Santos , Lucas G. Cordeiro , Claudio A. Rojo , Edison L. Leismann

Understanding multi-decadal variability is an essential goal of climate dynamics. For example, the recent phenomenon referred to as the "global warming hiatus" may reflect a coupling to an intrinsic, pre-industrial, multi-decadal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-12 W. Moon , S. Agarwal , J. S. Wettlaufer