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There is a well-known problem in Null Hypothesis Significance Testing: many statistically significant results fail to replicate in subsequent experiments. We show that this problem arises because standard `point-form null' significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

In this paper, we propose a test procedure based on the LASSO methodology to test the global null hypothesis of no dependence between a response variable and $p$ predictors, where $n$ observations with $n < p$ are available. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Carsten Uhlig , Steffen Uhlig

Topological models of empirical and formal inquiry are increasingly prevalent. They have emerged in such diverse fields as domain theory [1, 16], formal learning theory [18], epistemology and philosophy of science [10, 15, 8, 9, 2],…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Konstantin Genin , Kevin T. Kelly

For estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses in multiple testing, a family of estimators by Storey (2002) is widely used in the applied and statistical literature, with many methods suggested for selecting the parameter $\lambda$.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Anica Kostic , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Thanks to its favorable properties, the multivariate normal distribution is still largely employed for modeling phenomena in various scientific fields. However, when the number of components $p$ is of the same asymptotic order as the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Caizhu Huang , Claudia Di Caterina , Nicola Sartori

Hypothesis testing in contingency tables is usually based on asymptotic results, thereby restricting its proper use to large samples. To study these tests in small samples, we consider the likelihood ratio test and define an accurate index,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-04 Natalia L. Oliveira , Carlos A. de B. Pereira , Marcio A. Diniz , Adriano Polpo

Given a universe of discourse X-a domain of possible outcomes-an experiment may consist of selecting one of its elements, subject to the operation of chance, or of observing the elements, subject to imprecision. A priori uncertainty about…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Arthur Ramer

This article proposes an alternative to the Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test for evaluating the calibration of probability forecasts for binary events. The approach is based on e-values, a new tool for hypothesis testing. An e-value is a random…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-28 Alexander Henzi , Marius Puke , Timo Dimitriadis , Johanna Ziegel

Consider a multiple hypothesis testing setting involving rare/weak effects: relatively few tests, out of possibly many, deviate from their null hypothesis behavior. Summarizing the significance of each test by a P-value, we construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-20 David L. Donoho , Alon Kipnis

In the interpretation of experimental data, one is actually looking for plausible explanations. We look for a measure of plausibility, with which we can compare different possible explanations, and which can be combined when there are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-12-30 Wan Ahmad Tajuddin Wan Abdullah

An agent often has a number of hypotheses, and must choose among them based on observations, or outcomes of experiments. Each of these observations can be viewed as providing evidence for or against various hypotheses. All the attempts to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

I propose a general quantum hypothesis testing theory that enables one to test hypotheses about any aspect of a physical system, including its dynamics, based on a series of observations. For example, the hypotheses can be about the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-04-30 Mankei Tsang

Information theory is built on probability measures and by definition a probability measure has total mass 1. Probability measures are used to model uncertainty, and one may ask how important it is that the total mass is one. We claim that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Peter Harremoës

It is quite common in modern research, for a researcher to test many hypotheses. The statistical (frequentist) hypothesis testing framework, does not scale with the number of hypotheses in the sense that naively performing many hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-26 Jonathan Rosenblatt

Hypothesis testing is a central statistical method in psychology and the cognitive sciences. However, the problems of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) and p-values have been debated widely, but few attractive alternatives exist.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-08 Riko Kelter

Bayes factors for composite hypotheses have difficulty in encoding vague prior knowledge, as improper priors cannot be used and objective priors may be subjectively unreasonable. To address these issues I revisit the posterior Bayes factor,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Frank Dudbridge

Most scientific disciplines use significance testing to draw conclusions about experimental or observational data. This classical approach provides a theoretical guarantee for controlling the number of false positives across a set of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-06 Stanley E. Lazic

We consider an empirical likelihood inference for parameters defined by general estimating equations when some components of the random observations are subject to missingness. As the nature of the estimating equations is wide-ranging, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-05 Dong Wang , Song Xi Chen

In this paper, we show that the likelihood-ratio measure (a) is invariant with respect to dominating sigma-finite measures, (b) satisfies logical consequences which are not satisfied by standard $p$-values, (c) respects frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Alexandre G. Patriota

Several scientific fields including psychology are undergoing a replication crisis. There are many reasons for this problem, one of which is a misuse of p-values. There are several alternatives to p-values, and in this paper we describe a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Brian D. Segal