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Related papers: CARMA Processes driven by Non-Gaussian Noise

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Generalized autoregressive moving average (GARMA) models are a class of models that was developed for extending the univariate Gaussian ARMA time series model to a flexible observation-driven model for non-Gaussian time series data. This…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-07 Marinho G. Andrade , Ricardo S. Ehlers , Breno S. Andrade

Recently, extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems through deep learning frameworks has gained a lot of attention in various fields. Moreover, a growing amount of research work tends to transfer deterministic dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-05 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

We adapt the classical definition of locally stationary processes in discrete-time to the continuous-time setting and obtain equivalent representations in the time and frequency domain. From this, a unique time-varying spectral density is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Annemarie Bitter , Robert Stelzer , Bennet Ströh

We consider quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for general non-Gaussian discrete-ime linear state space models and equidistantly observed multivariate L\'evy-driven continuoustime autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Eckhard Schlemm , Robert Stelzer

A standard approach to analysis of noise-induced effects in stochastic dynamics assumes a Gaussian character of the noise term describing interaction of the analyzed system with its complex surroundings. An additional assumption about the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-05-06 Bartlomiej Dybiec , Ewa Gudowska-Nowak

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

In this paper, we consider function-indexed normalized weighted integrated periodograms for equidistantly sampled multivariate continuous-time state space models which are multivariate continuous-time ARMA processes. Thereby, the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Celeste Mayer

This paper considers a continuous time analogue of the classical autoregressive moving average processes, L\'evy-driven CARMA processes. First we describe limiting properties of the periodogram by means of the so-called truncated Fourier…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Robert Stelzer , Żywilla fechner

We consider a L\'evy driven continuous time moving average process $X$ sampled at random times which follow a renewal structure independent of $X$. Asymptotic normality of the sample mean, the sample autocovariance, and the sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-09 Dirk-Philip Brandes , Imma Valentina Curato

A novel first-order moving-average model for analyzing time series observed at irregularly spaced intervals is introduced. Two definitions are presented, which are equivalent under Gaussianity. The first one relies on normally distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

The paper shows how to use the R package yuima available on CRAN for the simulation and the estimation of a general L\'evy Continuous Autoregressive Moving Average (CARMA) model. The flexibility of the package is due to the fact that the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-11 Stefano M. Iacus , Lorenzo Mercuri

Long memory processes driven by L\'evy noise with finite second-order moments have been well studied in the literature. They form a very rich class of processes presenting an autocovariance function which decays like a power function. Here,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-20 G. L. Feltes , S. R. C. Lopes

With the rapid increase of valuable observational, experimental and simulated data for complex systems, much efforts have been devoted to identifying governing laws underlying the evolution of these systems. Despite the wide applications of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-01 Yang Li , Yubin Lu , Shengyuan Xu , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper we introduce the Kumaraswamy autoregressive moving average models (KARMA), which is a dynamic class of models for time series taking values in the double bounded interval $(a,b)$ following the Kumaraswamy distribution. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-16 Fábio Mariano Bayer , Débora Missio Bayer , Guilherme Pumi

We consider the problem of obtaining effective representations for the solutions of linear, vector-valued stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by non-Gaussian pure-jump L\'evy processes, and we show how such representations lead…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Marcos Tapia Costa , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

We introduce a general distributional framework that results in a unifying description and characterization of a rich variety of continuous-time stochastic processes. The cornerstone of our approach is an innovation model that is driven by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Michael Unser , Pouya D. Tafti , Qiyu Sun

Traditional data-driven methods, effective for deterministic systems or stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with Gaussian noise, fail to handle the discontinuous sample paths and heavy-tailed fluctuations characteristic of L\'evy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan

This paper studies the invertibility property of continuous time moving average processes driven by a L\'evy process. We provide of sufficient conditions for the recovery of the driving noise. Our assumptions are specified via the kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Orimar Sauri

Advances in data science are leading to new progresses in the analysis and understanding of complex dynamics for systems with experimental and observational data. With numerous physical phenomena exhibiting bursting, flights, hopping, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan

We study inference for the driving L\'evy noise of an ergodic stochastic differential equation (SDE) model, when the process is observed at high-frequency and long time and when the drift and scale coefficients contain finite-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hiroki Masuda , Lorenzo Mercuri , Yuma Uehara