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Related papers: Total variation estimates for the TCP process

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Transition path theory (TPT) for diffusion processes is a framework for analysing the transitions of multiscale ergodic diffusion processes between disjoint metastable subsets of state space. Most methods for applying TPT involve the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Nada Cvetković , Tim Conrad , Han Cheng Lie

We prove a Poisson limit theorem in the total variation distance of functionals of a general Poisson point process using the Malliavin-Stein method. Our estimates only involve first and second order difference operators and are closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Jens Grygierek

We study the long-term behavior of weighted multi-type branching processes, focusing on extending classical laws of large numbers and martingale convergence to settings with infinitely many weighted particles, arbitrary type spaces and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Denis Villemonais , Nicolas Zalduendo

We study a class of Markov chains that model the evolution of a quantum system subject to repeated measurements. Each Markov chain in this class is defined by a measure on the space of matrices. It is then given by a random product of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Tristan Benoist , Martin Fraas , Yan Pautrat , Clément Pellegrini

We derive two estimates for the deviation of the $N$-particle, hard-spheres Kac process from the corresponding Boltzmann equation, measured in expected Wasserstein distance. Particular care is paid to the long-time properties of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Daniel Heydecker

We prove a sample path Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for a class of jump processes whose rates are not uniformly Lipschitz continuous in phase space. Building on it we further establish the corresponding Wentzell-Freidlin (W-F) (infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Andrea Agazzi , Amir Dembo , Jean-Pierre Eckmann

We propose \textbf{Temporal Conformal Prediction (TCP)}, a distribution-free framework for constructing well-calibrated prediction intervals in nonstationary time series. TCP couples a modern quantile forecaster with a rolling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-26 Agnideep Aich , Ashit Baran Aich , Dipak C. Jain

Closed-loop flow control protocols, such as the prominent implementation TCP, are prevalent in the Internet, today. TCP has continuously been improved for greedy traffic sources to achieve high throughput over networks with large bandwidth…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-09-05 Ralf Lübben , Markus Fidler

The spectrum and coherency are useful quantities for characterizing the temporal correlations and functional relations within and between point processes. This paper begins with a review of these quantities, their interpretation and how…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. R. Jarvis , P. P. Mitra

This paper considers an $n$-particle jump-diffusion system with mean filed interaction, where the coefficients are locally Lipschitz continuous. We address the convergence as $n\to\infty$ of the empirical measure of the jump-diffusions to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Zeqian Li

We consider an asymmetric zero range process in infinite volume with zero mean and random jump rates starting from equilibrium. We investigate the large deviations from the hydrodynamical limit of the empirical distribution of particles and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Koukkous , H. Guiol

Thermodynamics serves as a universal means for studying physical systems from an energy perspective. In recent years, with the establishment of the field of stochastic and quantum thermodynamics, the ideas of thermodynamics have been…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-07 Tan Van Vu , Keiji Saito

We study the temporal dissipation of variance and relative entropy for ergodic Markov Chains in continuous time, and compute explicitly the corresponding dissipation rates. These are identified, as is well known, in the case of the variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-19 Ioannis Karatzas , Jan Maas , Walter Schachermayer

We consider a random interval splitting process, in which the splitting rule depends on the empirical distribution of interval lengths. We show that this empirical distribution converges to a limit almost surely as the number of intervals…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Elliot Paquette

The consensus problem -- achieving agreement among a network of agents -- is a central theme in both theory and applications. Recently, this problem has been extended from Euclidean spaces to the space of probability measures, where the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Pilgyu Jung , Yoon Mo Jung

We study the ergodic property of a continuous-state branching process with immigration and competition. The exponential ergodicity in a weighted total variation distance is proved under natural assumptions. The main theorem applies to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Pei-Sen Li , Zenghu Li , Jian Wang , Xiaowen Zhou

We consider elliptic diffusion processes on $\mathbb R^d$. Assuming that the drift contracts distances outside a compact set, we prove that, at a sufficiently high temperature, the Markov semi-group associated to the process is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Pierre Monmarché

It is well-known that 0 is the absorbing state for a branching system. Each particle in the system lives a random long time and gives a random number of new particles at its death time. It stops when the system has no particle. This paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Yanyun Li , Junping Li

In Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations, the thermal equilibria quantities are estimated by ensemble average over a sample set containing a large number of correlated samples. These samples are selected in accordance with the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-01-08 J. Li , P. Vignal , S. Sun , V. M. Calo

In this paper we consider a telegraph equation with time-dependent coefficients, governing the persistent random walk of a particle moving on the line with a time-varying velocity $c(t)$ and changing direction at instants distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Luca Angelani , Roberto Garra