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Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment $\xi$. We show the exact decay rate of the probability $\mathbb{P}(Z_n=j | Z_0 = k)$ as $n \to \infty$, for each $j \geq k,$…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-15 Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu , Eric Miqueu

A critical branching process $\left\{Z_{k},k=0,1,2,...\right\} $ in a random environment generated by a sequence of independent and identically distributed random reproduction laws is considered.\ Let $Z_{p,n}$ be the number of particles at…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $\xi$. We study the convergence rates of the martingale $W_n = Z_n/ E[Z_n| \xi]$ to its limit $W$. The following results about the convergence almost sur (a.s.), in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Chunmao Huang , Quansheng Liu

Let $(Z_n)_{n\geqslant 0}$ be a branching process in a random environment defined by a Markov chain $(X_n)_{n\geqslant 0}$ with values in a finite state space $\mathbb X$ starting at $X_0=i \in\mathbb X$. We extend from the i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Emile Le Page

There is a well-known sequence of constants c_n describing the growth of supercritical Galton-Watson processes Z_n. With 'lower deviation probabilities' we refer to P(Z_n=k_n) with k_n=o(c_n) as n increases. We give a detailed picture of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Klaus Fleischmann , Vitali Wachtel

In the present paper, we characterize the behavior of supercritical branching processes in random environment with linear fractional offspring distributions, conditioned on having small, but positive values at some large generation. As it…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Christian Böinghoff

We consider a population of particles with unit life length. Dying each particle produces offspring whose size depends on the random environment specifying the reproduction law of all particles of the given generation and on the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

Supercritical branching processes in constant environment conditioned on eventual extinction are known to be subcritical branching processes. The case of random environment is more subtle. A supercritical branching diffusion in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Martin Hutzenthaler

Branching processes in a varying environment encompass a wide range of stochastic demographic models, and their complete understanding in terms of limit behaviour poses a formidable research challenge. In this paper, we conduct a thorough…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Serik Sagitov , Alexey Lindo , Yerakhmet Zhumayev

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. For the subcritical regime a kind of phase transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-11 Valeriy Afanasyev , Christian Böinghoff , Götz Kersting , Vladimir Vatutin

We consider a supercritical Galton-Watson branching process with immigration. It is well known that under suitable conditions on the offspring and immigration distributions, there is a finite, strictly positive limit ${\mathcal{W}}$ for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Weijuan Chu , Wenbo V. Li , Yan-Xia Ren

We are interested in the survival probability of a population modeled by a critical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment. We assume that the random walk associated with the branching process is oscillating and satisfies a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Congzao Dong , Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}$ in a varying environment. Let $\{W_n\}$ be the natural martingale $Z_n/{\bf E}Z_n$. It converges to some random variable $W$ as $n\to\infty$. An important problem is to show that ${\bf P}(W>0)$ equals…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Y. Kirpicheva , A. Shklyaev

We study properties of a $p-$type subcritical branching process in random environment initiated at moment zero by a vector $\mathbf{z}=\left( z_{1},..,z_{p}\right) $\ of particles of different types. Assuming that the process belongs to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

Let $\left\{ Z(t), t\geq 0\right\} $ be a critical Bellman-Harris branching process with finite variance for the offspring size of particles. Assuming that $0<Z(t)\leq \varphi (t)$, where either $\varphi (t)=o(t)$ as $t\rightarrow \infty $…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Wenming Hong , Yao Ji , Vladimir Vatutin

Consider a continuous-time binary branching process conditioned to have population size n at some time t, and with a chance p for recording each extinct individual in the process. Within the family tree of this process, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Lea Popovic

We consider a critical branching process $Y_{n}$ in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. Let $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ be the event that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

We consider a particle system in continuous time, discrete population, with spatial motion and nonlocal branching. The offspring's weights and their number may depend on the mother's weight. Our setting captures, for instance, the processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bertrand Cloez

Given a super-critical Galton-Watson process $\{Z_n\}$ and a positive sequence $\{\epsilon_n\}$, we study the limiting behaviors of $P(S_{Z_n}/Z_n\geq\epsilon_n)$ and $P(S_{Z_n}/m^n\geq\epsilon_n) $ with sums $S_{n}$ of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Hui He