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The simulation of correlated multivariate Poisson processes with negative correlation between their components has many important applications in Finance, Insurance, Geophysics, and many other areas of applied probability. Introduced in our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-12 Michael Chiu , Kenneth R. Jackson , Alexander Kreinin

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

We propose a deep generative factor analysis model with beta process prior that can approximate complex non-factorial distributions over the latent codes. We outline a stochastic EM algorithm for scalable inference in a specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-11 Arunesh Mittal , Paul Sajda , John Paisley

In this paper we develop a stochastic analysis for marked binomial processes, that can be viewed as the discrete analogues of marked Poisson processes. The starting point is the statement of a chaotic expansion for square-integrable (marked…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Hélène Halconruy

The binary classification problem has a situation where only biased data are observed in one of the classes. In this paper, we propose a new method to approach the positive and biased negative (PbN) classification problem, which is a weakly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Shotaro Watanabe , Hidetoshi Matsui

We consider the problem of optimizing a real-valued continuous function $f$ using a Bayesian approach, where the evaluations of $f$ are chosen sequentially by combining prior information about $f$, which is described by a random process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Romain Benassi , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

We study preferential Bayesian optimization (BO) where reliable feedback is limited to pairwise comparison called duels. An important challenge in preferential BO, which uses the preferential Gaussian process (GP) model to represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Shion Takeno , Masahiro Nomura , Masayuki Karasuyama

In this paper, we study the Bernstein polynomial model for estimating the multivariate distribution functions and densities with bounded support. As a mixture model of multivariate beta distributions, the maximum (approximate) likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-23 Tao Wang , Zhong Guan

Boolean matrix factorisation aims to decompose a binary data matrix into an approximate Boolean product of two low rank, binary matrices: one containing meaningful patterns, the other quantifying how the observations can be expressed as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Tammo Rukat , Chris C. Holmes , Michalis K. Titsias , Christopher Yau

The process generates substantial amounts of data with highly complex structures, leading to the development of numerous nonlinear statistical methods. However, most of these methods rely on computations involving large-scale dense kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-18 Ke Chen , Dandan Jiang

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

We propose a method for computing binary orthogonal non-negative matrix factorization (BONMF) for clustering and classification. The method is tested on several representative real-world data sets. The numerical results confirm that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 S. Fathi Hafshejani , D. Gaur , S. Hossain , R. Benkoczi

This paper is on Bayesian inference for parametric statistical models that are defined by a stochastic simulator which specifies how data is generated. Exact sampling is then possible but evaluating the likelihood function is typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Borislav Ikonomov , Michael U. Gutmann

Recent work has shown that the prior over functions induced by a deep Bayesian neural network (BNN) behaves as a Gaussian process (GP) as the width of all layers becomes large. However, many BNN applications are concerned with the BNN…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-30 Jiri Hron , Yasaman Bahri , Roman Novak , Jeffrey Pennington , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein

In this paper, we define a tempered space-time fractional negative binomial process (TSTFNBP) by subordinating the fractional Poisson process with an independent tempered Mittag-Leffler L\'{e}vy subordinator. We study its distributional…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Shilpa , Ashok Kumar Pathak , Aditya Maheshwari

A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Geoff A. Jarrad

In this work we show that the latest LHC data on multiplicity moments $C_2-C_5$ are well described by a two-step model in the form of a convolution of the Poisson distribution with energy-dependent source function. For the source function…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-10-18 Michal Praszalowicz

Sequential Monte Carlo samplers represent a compelling approach to posterior inference in Bayesian models, due to being parallelisable and providing an unbiased estimate of the posterior normalising constant. In this work, we significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-24 Samuel Duffield , Sumeetpal S. Singh

The proposal and study of dependent prior processes has been a major research focus in the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature. In this paper, we introduce a flexible class of dependent nonparametric priors, investigate their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

The bias-compensated set-membership normalised LMS (BCSMNLMS) algorithm is proposed based on the concept of set-membership filtering, which incorporates the bias-compensation technique to mitigate the negative effect of noisy inputs.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-20 Kaili Yin , Haiquan Zhao , Lu Lu