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Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

In this paper I introduce quantile spectral densities that summarize the cyclical behavior of time series across their whole distribution by analyzing periodicities in quantile crossings. This approach can capture systematic changes in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-28 Andreas Hagemann

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

This paper deals with the comparison of several stationary processes with unequal sample sizes. We provide a detailed theoretical framework on the testing problem for equality of spectral densities in the bivariate case, after which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Philip Preuß , Thimo Hildebrandt

We propose an informal test for stationarity in a time series which checks for the compatibility of nonlinear approximations to the dynamics made in different segments of the sequence. The segments are compared directly, rather than via…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber

This paper proposes the cross-quantilogram to measure the quantile dependence between two time series. We apply it to test the hypothesis that one time series has no directional predictability to another time series. We establish the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Heejoon Han , Oliver Linton , Tatsushi Oka , Yoon-Jae Whang

The absence of time-reversal symmetry is a fundamental property of many nonlinear time series. Here, we propose a new set of statistical tests for time series irreversibility based on standard and horizontal visibility graphs. Specifically,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-04-07 Jonathan F. Donges , Reik V. Donner , Jürgen Kurths

We consider asymptotic problems in spectral analysis of stationary causal processes. Limiting distributions of periodograms and smoothed periodogram spectral density estimates are obtained and applications to the spectral domain bootstrap…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Xiaofeng Shao , Wei Biao Wu

For second order stationary processes, the spectral distribution function is uniquely deter- mined by the autocovariance functions of the processes. We define the quantiles of the spectral distribution function and propose two estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-12 Yan Liu

Classical spectral methods are subject to two fundamental limitations: they only can account for covariance-related serial dependencies, and they require second-order stationarity. Much attention has been devoted lately to quantile-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Stefan Birr , Stanislav Volgushev , Tobias Kley , Holger Dette , Marc Hallin

We introduce a novel class of nonlinear tests for serial dependence in functional time series, grounded in the functional quantile autocorrelation framework. Unlike traditional approaches based on the classical autocovariance kernel, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Ángel López-Oriona , Ying Sun , Hanlin Shang

Nonlinear dynamic volatility has been observed in many financial time series. The recently proposed quantile periodogram offers an alternative way to examine this phenomena in the frequency domain. The quantile periodogram is constructed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Ta-Hsin Li

Conditional independence testing is a fundamental problem underlying causal discovery and a particularly challenging task in the presence of nonlinear and high-dimensional dependencies. Here a fully non-parametric test for continuous data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-06 Jakob Runge

A useful approach for analysing multiple time series is via characterising their spectral density matrix as the frequency domain analog of the covariance matrix. When the dimension of the time series is large compared to their length,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Mark Fiecas , Chenlei Leng , Weidong Liu , Yi Yu

An important issue in functional time series analysis is whether an observed series comes from a purely random process. We extend the BDS test, a widely-used nonlinear independence test, to the functional time series. Like the BDS test in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Xin Huang , Han Lin Shang , Tak Kuen Siu

In this paper, we investigate the testing problem that the spectral density matrices of several, not necessarily independent, stationary processes are equal. Based on an $L_2$-type test statistic, we propose a new nonparametric approach,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Carsten Jentsch , Markus Pauly

In this paper, we introduce quantile coherency to measure general dependence structures emerging in the joint distribution in the frequency domain and argue that this type of dependence is natural for economic time series but remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Jozef Baruník , Tobias Kley

We describe two families of statistical tests to detect partial correlation in vectorial timeseries. The tests measure whether an observed timeseries Y can be predicted from a second series X, even after accounting for a third series Z…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-25 Kenneth D. Harris , Alex E. Yuan

The paper considers nonparametric specification tests of quantile curves for a general class of nonstationary processes. Using Bahadur representation and Gaussian approximation results for nonstationary time series, simultaneous confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Zhou Zhou

We propose a goodness-of-fit measure for probability densities modeling observations with varying dimensionality, such as text documents of differing lengths or variable-length sequences. The proposed measure is an instance of the kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-14 Jerome Baum , Heishiro Kanagawa , Arthur Gretton
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