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We investigate the large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood estimators for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with shift. We estimate simultaneously the drift and shift parameters. On the one hand, we establish a large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Bernard Bercu , Adrien Richou

Motivated by the modeling of the temporal structure of the velocity field in a highly turbulent flow, we propose and study a linear stochastic differential equation that involves the ingredients of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, supplemented…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-26 Laurent Chevillard

We consider stochastic differential equation $$ d X_t=b(X_t) dt +d W_t^H, $$ where the drift $b$ is either a measure or an integrable function, and $W^H$ is a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Oleg Butkovsky , Khoa Lê , Leonid Mytnik

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

In this paper, we will construct the Malliavin derivative and the stochastic integral with respect to the Mixed fractional Brownian motion (mfbm) for H > 1/2. As an application, we try to estimate the drift parameter via Malliavin…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Chunhao Cai , Yingzhong Huang

We implement Bayesian model selection and parameter estimation for the case of fractional Brownian motion with measurement noise and a constant drift. The approach is tested on artificial trajectories and shown to make estimates that match…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-05 Jens Krog , Lars H. Jacobsen , Frederik W. Lund , Daniel Wüstner , Michael A. Lomholt

In this note we prove an existence and uniqueness result for the solution of multidimensional stochastic delay differential equations with normal reflection. The equations are driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Mireia Besalú , Carles Rovira

We first study the drift parameter estimation of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process (fOU) with periodic mean for every $\frac{1}{2}<H<1$. More precisely, we extend the consistency proved in \cite{DFW} for $\frac{1}{2}<H<\frac{3}{4}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Salwa Bajja , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Lauri Viitasaari

We obtain strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient for complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes disturbed by fractional noise, extending the result of Y. Hu and D. Nualart,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-27 Yong Chen , Yaozhong Hu , Zhi Wang

We construct the "expected signature matching" estimator for differential equations driven by rough paths and we prove its consistency and asymptotic normality. We use it to estimate parameters of a diffusion and a fractional diffusions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-16 Anastasia Papavasiliou , Christophe Ladroue

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the lead-lag parameter between two stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motions (fBMs) of the Hurst parameter greater than 1/2. First we propose a lead-lag model between two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Kohei Chiba

Fractional Brownian motion is a non-Markovian Gaussian process $X_t$, indexed by the Hurst exponent $H$. It generalises standard Brownian motion (corresponding to $H=1/2$). We study the probability distribution of the maximum $m$ of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-25 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Joerg Wiese

Let $B^{a,b}:=\{B_t^{a,b},t\geq0\}$ be a weighted fractional Brownian motion of parameters $a>-1$, $|b|<1$, $|b|<a+1$. We consider a least square-type method to estimate the drift parameter $\theta>0$ of the weighted fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Mishari Al-Foraih , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

We examine a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process that perturbs an unknown Lipschitz-continuous drift and aim to estimate the drift's value at a predetermined time horizon by sampling the path of the process. Due to the time varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria , Berk Tan Perçin

In this paper, we study small-time asymptotic behaviors for a class of distribution dependent stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motions with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$ and magnitude $\ep^H$. By building up a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Xiliang Fan , Ting Yu , Chenggui Yuan

In this paper we present a dynamical system to generate Brownian motion based on the Langevin equation without stochastic term and using fractional derivatives, i.e., a deterministic Brownian motion model is proposed. The stochastic process…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-05-09 H. E. Gilardi-Velázquez , E. Campos-Cantón

We present an innovating sensitivity analysis for stochastic differential equations: We study the sensitivity, when the Hurst parameter~$H$ of the driving fractional Brownian motion tends to the pure Brownian value, of probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Alexandre Richard , Denis Talay

Stochastic models with fractional Brownian motion as source of randomness have become popular since the early 2000s. Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a Gaussian process, whose covariance depends on the so-called Hurst parameter $H\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Anna P. Kwossek , Andreas Neuenkirch , David J. Prömel

This paper deals with the consistency and a rate of convergence for a Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function of a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional noise. The results of this paper are obtained via…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

We consider the parameter estimation problem for the non-ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined as $dX_t=\theta X_tdt+dB_t,\ t\geq0$, with a parameter $\theta>0$, where $B$ is a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine
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