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Related papers: Tail asymptotics for busy periods

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Transient responses in disordered systems typically show a heavy-tail relaxation behavior: the decay time constant increases as time increases, revealing a spectral distribution of time constants. The asymptotic value of such transients is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-06-06 Jiajun Luo , M. Grayson

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

We compute the tail asymptotics of the product of a beta random variable and a generalized gamma random variable which are independent and have general parameters. A special case of these asymptotics were proved and used in a recent work of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Jim Pitman , Miklos Z. Racz

In this paper, we consider an $N$-queue overloaded polling network attended by a single cyclically roving server. Upon the completion of his service, a customer is either routed to another queue or leaves the system. All the switches are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Zaiming Liu , Yuejiao Wang , Yuqing Chu , Yingqiu Li

Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Xuancheng Shao , Yufei Zhao

We study the asymptotic behavior of a multidimensional random walk in a general cone. We find the tail asymptotics for the exit time and prove integral and local limit theorems for a random walk conditioned to stay in a cone. The main step…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

The event of large losses plays an important role in credit risk. As these large losses are typically rare, and portfolios usually consist of a large number of positions, large deviation theory is the natural tool to analyze the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Vincent Leijdekker , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

If the edges of the complete graph $K_n$ are totally ordered, a simple path whose edges are in ascending order is called increasing. The worst-case length of the longest increasing path has remained an open problem for several decades, with…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Mikhail Lavrov , Po-Shen Loh

Many processes must complete in the presence of failures. Different systems respond to task failure in different ways. The system may resume a failed task from the failure point (or a saved checkpoint shortly before the failure point), it…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-05 Soeren Asmussen , Pierre Fiorini , Lester Lipsky , Tomasz Rolski , Robert Sheahan

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

This work is a continuation of [7]. We consider a continuous-time birth-and-death process in which the transition rates have an asymptotical power-law dependence upon the position of the process. We establish rough exponential asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. A. Yambartsev

We consider two dimensional random walks conditioned to stay in the positive quadrant. Assuming that the increments of the walk have finite second moments and that the drift vector is co-oriented with one of two axes, we construct positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Tuan Anh Nguyen , Vitali Wachtel

We consider simple random walk on Z^d, d bigger or equal to 3. Motivated by the work of A.-S. Sznitman and the author in arXiv:1304.7477 and arXiv:1310.2177, we investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a large body gets…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Xinyi Li

The problem of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables with stretched-exponential tails exhibits a dynamical phase transition and has recently reemerged in the context of active transport and condensation phenomena. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-11 Alberto Bassanoni , Omer Hamdi

We revisit the problem of influencing the sex ratio of a population by subjecting reproduction of each family to some stopping rule. As an easy consequence of the strong law of large numbers, no such modification is possible in the sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Stefan Gerhold , Friedrich Hubalek

Let $\{X(t)= (X_1(t),X_2(t))^T,\ t \in \mathbb{R}^N\}$ be an $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued continuous locally stationary Gaussian random field with $\mathbb{E}[X(t)]=\mathbf{0}$. For any compact sets $A_1, A_2 \subset \mathbb{R}^N$, precise…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Yuzhen Zhou , Yimin Xiao

In previous work Majda and McLaughlin computed explicit expressions for the $2N$th moments of a passive scalar advected by a linear shear flow in the form of an integral over ${\bf R}^N$. In this paper we first compute the asymptotics of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Bronski , R. M. McLaughlin

We study the tail asymptotics of the sum of two heavy-tailed random variables. The dependence structure is modeled by copulas with the so-called tail order property. Examples are presented to illustrate the approach. Further for each…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-15 Fan Yang , Yi Zhang

We show that the full-sample bootstrap is asymptotically valid for constructing confidence intervals for high-quantiles, tail probabilities, and other tail parameters of a univariate distribution. This resolves the doubts that have been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Svetlana Litvinova , Mervyn J. Silvapulle

We consider asymptotics for the maximum of a modulated random walk whose increments $\xi_n^{X_n}$ are heavy-tailed. Of particular interest is the case where the modulating process $X$ is regenerative. Here we study also the maximum of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Stan Zachary
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