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Related papers: Tail asymptotics for busy periods

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We study the distribution of the maximum $M$ of a random walk whose increments have a distribution with negative mean and belonging, for some $\gamma>0$, to a subclass of the class $\mathcal{S}_\gamma$--see, for example, Chover, Ney, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Stan Zachary , Sergey Foss

This paper is concerned with the asymptotic analysis of sojourn times of random fields with continuous sample paths. Under a very general framework we show that there is an interesting relationship between tail asymptotics of sojourn times…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-28 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu , Zbigniew Michna

We consider a transient random walk on $Z^d$ which is asymptotically stable, without centering, in a sense which allows different norming for each component. The paper is devoted to the asymptotics of the probability of the first return to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-19 Ron Doney , Dmitry Korshunov

This paper addresses heavy-tailed large deviation estimates for the distribution tail of functionals of a class of spectrally one-sided L\'evy process. Our contribution is to show that these estimates remain valid in a near-critical regime.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Bart Kamphorst , Bert Zwart

A network belongs to the monotone separable class if its state variables are homogeneous and monotone functions of the epochs of the arrival process. This framework contains several classical queueing network models, including generalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Lelarge

Let F be a distribution function with negative mean and regularly varying right tail. Under a mild smoothness condition we derive higher order asymptotic expansions for the tail distribution of the maxima of the random walk generated by F.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

We consider reflecting random walks on the nonnegative integers with drift of order 1/x at height x. We establish explicit asymptotics for various probabilities associated to such walks, including the distribution of the hitting time of 0…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Kenneth S. Alexander

We discuss the quenched tail estimates for the random walk in random scenery. The random walk is the symmetric nearest neighbor walk and the random scenery is assumed to be independent and identically distributed, non-negative, and has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Ryoki Fukushima

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhi Li

In this paper, the area swept under the workload graph is analyzed: with $\{Q(t) : t\ge0\}$ denoting the stationary workload process, the asymptotic behavior of \[\pi_{T(u)}(u):={\mathbb{P}}\biggl(\int_0^ {T(u)}Q(r)\,\mathrm{d}r>u\biggr)\]…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Marek Arendarczyk , Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Michel Mandjes

We consider a discrete-time random walk on a one-dimensional lattice with space and time-dependent random jump probabilities, known as the Beta random walk. We are interested in the probability that, for a given realization of the jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-28 Alexander K. Hartmann , Alexandre Krajenbrink , Pierre Le Doussal

For families of random walks $\{S_k^{(a)}\}$ with $\mathbf E S_k^{(a)} = -ka < 0$ we consider their maxima $M^{(a)} = \sup_{k \ge 0} S_k^{(a)}$. We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of $M^{(a)}$ as $a \to 0$ for asymptotically stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-13 Seva Shneer , Vitali Wachtel

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

When an explicit expression for a probability distribution function $F(x)$ can not be found, asymptotic properties of the tail probability function $\bar{F}(x)=1-F(x)$ are very valuable, since they provide approximations or bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

We consider importance sampling for estimating the probability that a light-tailed $d$-dimensional random walk exits through one of many disjoint rare-event regions before reaching an anticipated target. This problem arises in sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

A certain class of directed metric graphs is considered. Asymptotics for a number of possible endpoints of a random walk at large times is found.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Vsevolod Chernyshev , Anton Tolchennikov

Let $(X_n:n\geq 0)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. r.v.'s with negative mean. Set $S_0=0$ and define $S_n=X_1+... +X_n$. We propose an importance sampling algorithm to estimate the tail of $M=\max \{S_n:n\geq 0\}$ that is strongly efficient for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Wei Xu

This paper gives various asymptotic formulae for the transition probability associated with discrete time quantum walks on the real line. The formulae depend heavily on the `normalized' position of the walk. When the position is in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Toshikazu Sunada , Tatsuya Tate

We study the asymptotics of the stationary sojourn time Z of a "typical customer" in a tandem of single-server queues. It is shown that, in a certain "intermediate" region of light-tailed service time distributions, Z may take a large value…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-29 S. G. Foss