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The multidimensional distributions with heavy tails attracted recently the attention of several papers on Applied Probability. However, the most of the works of the last decades are focused on multivariate regular variation, while the rest…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We introduce an original way to estimate the memory parameter of the elephant random walk, a fascinating discrete time random walk on integers having a complete memory of its entire history. Our estimator is nothing more than a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Bernard Bercu , Lucile Laulin

We extend the notion of the associated random walk and the Wald martingale in random walks where the increments are independent and identically distributed to the more general case of stationary ergodic increments. Examples are given where…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-24 D. R. Grey

Let $\{X(t)= (X_1(t),X_2(t))^T,\ t \in \mathbb{R}^N\}$ be an $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued continuous locally stationary Gaussian random field with $\mathbb{E}[X(t)]=\mathbf{0}$. For any compact sets $A_1, A_2 \subset \mathbb{R}^N$, precise…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Yuzhen Zhou , Yimin Xiao

We study the asymptotic behavior of a multidimensional random walk in a general cone. We find the tail asymptotics for the exit time and prove integral and local limit theorems for a random walk conditioned to stay in a cone. The main step…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space and $E$ be a finite set. Assume that $X=(X_n)$ is an irreducible and aperiodic Markov chain, defined on $(\Omega,\mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$, with values in $E$ and with transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Yinna Ye

Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Xuancheng Shao , Yufei Zhao

Let $\{X, X_{n}; n \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. non-degenerate real-valued random variables with $\mathbb{E}X^{2} < \infty$. Let $S_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}$, $n \geq 1$. Let $g(\cdot): ~[0, \infty) \rightarrow [0, \infty)$ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-02 Deli Li , Yu Miao , Yongcheng Qi

We consider the first exit time $\tau = \min \{n\ge 1 : S_n\le 0\}$ from the positive halfline of a random walk $S_n = \sum_1^n \xi_i, n\ge 1$ with i.d.d. summands having a negative drift ${\mathbb E} \xi = -a< 0$. Let $\xi^+ = \max (0,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Sergey Foss , Timofej Prasolov

Consider a Markov chain $(X_n)_{n\geqslant 0}$ with values in the state space $\mathbb X$. Let $f$ be a real function on $\mathbb X$ and set $S_0=0,$ $S_n = f(X_1)+\cdots + f(X_n),$ $n\geqslant 1$. Let $\mathbb P_x$ be the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Émile Le Page

Consider the extreme value of a Bernoulli random walk on the one-dimensional integer lattice, with reflection at 0, over a finite discrete time interval. Only the asymmetric (biased) case is discussed. Asymptotic mean/variance results are…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-08-27 Steven R. Finch

In this paper we study an asymptotic expansion for the distribution of a random motion of a particle driven by a Markov process in diffusion approximation. We show that the singularly perturbed equation of a Markovian random motion can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 A. Pogorui

The longest increasing subsequence of a random walk with mean zero and finite variance is known to be $n^{1/2 + o(1)}$. We show that this is not universal for symmetric random walks. In particular, the symmetric Ultra-fat tailed random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Robin Pemantle , Yuval Peres

We introduce asymptotic R\'enyi entropies as a parameterized family of invariants for random walks on groups. These invariants interpolate between various well-studied properties of the random walk, including the growth rate of the group,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Kimberly Golubeva , Minghao Pan , Omer Tamuz

We give criteria for ergodicity, transience and null recurrence for the random walk in random environment on {0,1,2,...}, with reflection at the origin, where the random environment is subject to a vanishing perturbation. Our results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-18 M. V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

Consider the real Markov walk $S_n = X_1+ \dots+ X_n$ with increments $\left(X_n\right)_{n\geq 1}$ defined by a stochastic recursion starting at $X_0=x$. For a starting point $y>0$ denote by $\tau_y$ the exit time of the process $\left(…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Émile Le Page

We give a simple non-analytic proof of Biggins' theorem on martingale convergence for branching random walks.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Russell Lyons

The quasi-likelihood estimator and the Bayesian type estimator of the volatility parameter are in general asymptotically mixed normal. In case the limit is normal, the asymptotic expansion was derived in Yoshida (1997) as an application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-04 Nakahiro Yoshida

We study a discrete-time random walk on the non-negative integers, such that when 0 is reached a jump occurs to an arbitrary location, with given probabilities. We obtain an asymptotic formula for the expected position at large times, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-01 Guy Katriel

Based on a martingale theory approach, we present a complete characterization of the asymptotic behaviour of a lazy reinforced random walk (LRRW) which shows three different regimes (diffusive, critical and superdiffusive). This allows us…