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We study the long-time behavior of decoupled continuous-time random walks characterized by superheavy-tailed distributions of waiting times and symmetric heavy-tailed distributions of jump lengths. Our main quantity of interest is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-30 S. I. Denisov , S. B. Yuste , Yu. S. Bystrik , H. Kantz , K. Lindenberg

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

The aim of this short article is to convey the basic idea of the original paper [3], without going into too much detail, about how to derive sharp asymptotics of the gyration radius for random walk, self-avoiding walk and oriented…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Akira Sakai

We deduce in this short report the non-asymptotic for exponential tail of distribution for sums of independent centered random variables.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabien Brosset , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

Consider a discrete-time one-dimensional supercritical branching random walk. We study the probability that there exists an infinite ray in the branching random walk that always lies above the line of slope $\gamma-\epsilon$, where $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-16 Nina Gantert , Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

Let S_0=0,{S_n, n>0} be a random walk generated by a sequence of i.i.d. random variables X_1,X_2,... and let \tau^{-} be the first descending ladder epoch. Assuming that the distribution of X_1 belongs to the domain of attraction of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-09 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

This paper extends the result of Broniatowski and Caron (2013) pertaining to the asymptotic distribution of a random walk conditioned on its final value as the number of summands increase. We consider multivariate light-tailed random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Caron Virgile

Given a super-critical branching random walk on $\mathbb R$ started from the origin, let $M_n$ be the maximal position of individuals at the $n$-th generation. Under some mild conditions, it is known from \cite{A13} that as…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-24 Xinxin Chen , Hui He

This is a continuation of our earlier work [Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 129(1), pp.102--128, 2019] on the random walk in random scenery and in random layered conductance. We complete the picture of upper deviation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Ryoki Fukushima

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

The purpose of this paper is to establish, via a martingale approach, some refinements on the asymptotic behavior of the one-dimensional elephant random walk (ERW). The asymptotic behavior of the ERW mainly depends on a memory parameter $p$…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Bernard Bercu

We study tails of the supremum of a perturbed random walk under regime which was not yet considered in the literature. Our approach is based on a new renewal theorem, which is of independent interest. We obtain first and second order…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Ewa Damek , Bartosz Kołodziejek

By using a probabilistic technique based on the exponential change of measure we find a precise tail asymptotic behavior of some perpetuities with distributions close to the Dickman distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Alexander Iksanov , Oleh Iksanov

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density associated with the decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by a superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times. It is shown that if the random walk is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-02 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

We study distributions $F$ on $[0,\infty)$ such that for some $T\le\infty$, $F^{*2}(x,x+T]\sim 2 F(x,x+T]$. The case $T=\infty$ corresponds to $F$ being subexponential, and our analysis shows that the properties for $T<\infty$ are, in fact,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 S. Asmussen , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

In [8], asymptotic expansion of the martingale with mixed normal limit was provided. The expansion formula is expressed by the adjoint of a random symbol with coefficients described by the Malliavin calculus, differently from the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Nakahiro Yoshida

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and light-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for local probabilities for the area and prove a local…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We obtain in this paper a non-asymptotic non-improvable up to multiplicative constant moment and exponential tail estimates for distribution for U-statistics by means of martingale representation. We show also the exactness of obtained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota
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